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#1
09-01-2006, 01:17 AM
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SnG Expectations at various stack sizes
1-Table SnG. 10 players. 2000 chips to start.
If I am a 50% ITM player, (16.33% 1st, 2nd, and 3rd), what percent should i finish ITM if i have 4000 chips and there are 9 players left? (Or ten?) What percent should I expect to finish 1st, 2nd, or 3rd? How about 50% of the chips? Assume all other players are equal and average. Is there a formula to determine this? Thanks for any help. 
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#4
09-01-2006, 02:46 AM
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Re: SnG Expectations at various stack sizes
Hi,
Wow! I would love for you to post in the SNG forum how you achieve such fantastic results! I would be overjoyed beyond words with that kind of finish. Cheers, Leo
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#5
09-01-2006, 01:03 PM
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Re: SnG Expectations at various stack sizes
ICM (Independent Chip Model) is what you're looking for. The basic idea is that your prob of finishing 1st = fraction of the total number of chips that belong to you.
You can then extend this reasoning (skipping over details here) to find your chances of finishing 2nd or 3rd. N.B. It is not just your stack size that is relevant - you must know all the stack sizes at the table to use ICM. There is a link to a thread about ICM in the STT FAQ
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#6
09-01-2006, 02:13 PM
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Re: SnG Expectations at various stack sizes
[ QUOTE ]
Hi, Wow! I would love for you to post in the SNG forum how you achieve such fantastic results! I would be overjoyed beyond words with that kind of finish. Cheers, Leo [/ QUOTE ] he says "if i was" I assume he is asking how to do the math [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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