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  #1  
Old 08-28-2006, 02:34 PM
mattak mattak is offline
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Default 22s: Odds to call this or spewing?

Getting 3 to 1. Still left with 3k if I lose. However, I am big stack (barely) and there are lots of short stacks coming up on their blinds. Call or no call?

Working this ICM out by hand I come up with +0.7 with my best guess at hand ranges. Is this edge worth giving up my good situation if I lose?

PartyPoker Speed Tournament, Big Blind is t600 (6 handed) Converter on pregopoker.com

UTG (t4185)
UTG+1 (t1960)
CO (t4360)
Button (t2590)
SB (t2120)
Hero (t4785)

Preflop: Hero is in BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
<font color="gray">UTG folds</font>, <font color="red">UTG+1 raises to t1960</font>, <font color="gray">CO folds</font>, <font color="gray">Button folds</font>, <font color="red">SB raises to t1820</font>, Hero calls t1520

Flop: (t5300) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)


Turn: (t5300) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players)


River: (t5300) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
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  #2  
Old 08-28-2006, 02:40 PM
Dan. Dan. is offline
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Default Re: 22s: Odds to call this or spewing?

Spewage. Who's range do you think you're ahead of? And being the big stack means nothing when you have only 8 BBs yourself.
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  #3  
Old 08-28-2006, 02:41 PM
JuntMonkey JuntMonkey is offline
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Default Re: 22s: Odds to call this or spewing?

I don't like it. One raiser and you'd have a debate.
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  #4  
Old 08-28-2006, 02:47 PM
mattak mattak is offline
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Default Re: 22s: Odds to call this or spewing?

[ QUOTE ]
I don't like it. One raiser and you'd have a debate.

[/ QUOTE ]

Really? I am more inclined to call this with the 2 players all in than 1 because of pot odds. Am I thinking incorrectly about this?
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  #5  
Old 08-28-2006, 02:53 PM
AliasMrJones AliasMrJones is offline
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Default Re: 22s: Odds to call this or spewing?

I'd fold this quickly. SB at least will usually have a hand here and if you lose, you go from chipleader to bad shape.
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  #6  
Old 08-28-2006, 05:06 PM
AmazingErvin AmazingErvin is offline
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Default Re: 22s: Odds to call this or spewing?

WTF? Instamuck not close.
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  #7  
Old 08-28-2006, 05:08 PM
kipper34 kipper34 is offline
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Default Re: 22s: Odds to call this or spewing?

Easy fold for me.

I almost never call a raised pot with A-low, too big a chance I'm dominated.

Here UTG might be making a move, but the SB must have something, let them knock each other out.
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