NL $25 6-max - Raised with JTs

Sense1ess · #1 01-24-2006, 04:29 PM

No read on opponent. I would think he would re-raise with AA, KK, QQ & probably A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] preflop. I put him on AQ, KQ or QT with 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] being an outside possiblity that I didn't factor in my decision. I also thought of TT, but that's not likely. I assume with the hand range I put him on means it's an automatic call?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 max, 6 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

BB ($31.40)
UTG ($9.05)
MP ($28.65)
Hero ($25.55)
Button ($26.65)
SB ($24.75)

Preflop: Hero is CO with T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.10.
UTG calls $0.25, 1 fold, Hero raises to $1.25, 1 fold, SB (poster) calls $1.15, 1 fold, UTG calls $1.

Flop: ($4) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $4, UTG folds, SB goes all-in, Hero ???

BukNaked36 · #2 01-24-2006, 04:40 PM

My read is villian is protecting his AQ, KK, or AA. Could be a better flush draw, but I doubt it. You are 33% to make your flush. Fold.

Sense1ess · #3 01-24-2006, 04:43 PM

If he has AQ, KK, or AA that means that I still have 3 jacks and 2 tens plus the 9 flush outs. Also, I don't see why you don't think he'd re-raise with AA or KK preflop.

CappyAA · #4 01-24-2006, 04:51 PM

[ QUOTE ]

My read is villian is protecting his AQ, KK, or AA. Could be a better flush draw, but I doubt it. You are 33% to make your flush. Fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

If villian has one of these hands, hero has 2 chances to hit 15 outs making him a slight favorite in the hand. With the dead money in the pot already, hero is getting about 1.5 to 1 odds. According to your analysis, this is an easy call.

I still make this call. Occasionally you will run into TT or 44 and that will suck. QT doesn't leave you in a good spot either since a J won't even help you. I do think you see AQ, KQ, QJ enough times to warrant your 1.5-1 odds. I call here.

EDIT - Sorry, I miscounted too fast - 14 outs instead of 15 above. Still the odds warrant a call there.

BukNaked36 · #5 01-24-2006, 05:10 PM

Apparently I was too hasty in my response.

Good discussion of a very similar hand here
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showfl...e=1#Post4519619

Sense1ess · #6 01-24-2006, 08:19 PM

Btw, thank you both for your replies. I'd greatly appreciate one or two more opinions on this hand. Thanks in advance.

Fallen Hero · #7 01-24-2006, 08:30 PM

auto-call

Sense1ess · #8 01-25-2006, 02:07 PM

Thanks for the replies. My read on his hand range was correct. He had QT and I didn't improve.