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  #1  
Old 08-20-2006, 02:25 PM
manub manub is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 169
Default What is a large enough statistical sample?

Hello everyone,

I currently play a lot of 0.5/1 and 1/2 NL short-handed on Pokerstars, usually 12 tables simultaneously. This means I play a lot of hands, with good results so far. However, I am wondering about this: what is the minimum number of hands I need to play in order to have a large enough statistical sample so I can call myself a winning player with absolute certainty?

Current stats according to Poker Office, for my last seven days of play:

Hands played: 31724
BB/100 hands: 3.81

How many hands do I need? 100.000 ? 500.000 ? Less than that? More than that?

Another question: what is a good average BB/100 hands in short handed NL play?

Thanks,
manub
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  #2  
Old 08-20-2006, 02:28 PM
Caddy_4_Life Caddy_4_Life is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Location: 2.2BB / 100
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Default Re: What is a large enough statistical sample?

Someone could look at your game and tell your a winning player based on one session.

Your stats could indicate your a winning player after 50k hands.

Your stats should indicate your specific winrate after 100k-500k hands depending on variance.

-Caddy
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  #3  
Old 08-20-2006, 02:28 PM
Leader Leader is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Excellence: Learn, Play, Win.
Posts: 7,682
Default Re: What is a large enough statistical sample?

-This is a limit forum
-500K should give you some idea.
-playing 500K at those limits doesn't seem to be a good idea.
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  #4  
Old 08-20-2006, 02:33 PM
manub manub is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 169
Default Re: What is a large enough statistical sample?

Oops, sorry, didn't realize this was a limit forum. There's no NL forum for short-handed play though. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]
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