AP 10/20 Value bet this set?

[silencio]

Villain is JAKZ101POKER for those who play at AP. For those who don't he is a 40/30/a lot/ kind of guy who is not bad but the lack of a folding button is obvious. The other guy is your friendly neighborhood fish.

As you can see limping is not villain's favorite hobby but he does that from time to time. I can't imagine him limping with a PP so a set over set is not very likely.

Absolute Poker
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $10/$20
5 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is CO with 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
UTG calls, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises</font>, 2 folds, BB calls, UTG calls.

Flop: 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (6.5SB, 3 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets</font>, BB calls, UTG calls.

Turn: 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (4.75BB, 3 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets</font>, BB calls, <font color="#cc0000">UTG raises</font>, Hero calls, BB folds.

River: T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (9.75BB, 2 players)
UTG checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero...

[StupidAcesSigh]

YES.

[The Bryce]

Crown of shame for not 3 betting the turn. Value bet the river.

[luckyharr]

Why no turn 3-bet?

[silencio]

[ QUOTE ]
Why no turn 3-bet?

[/ QUOTE ]

I was just going to edit my post. Since I think the real dilemma is on the turn. The problem is that if I get capped I really don't want to fold (the river) against this guy.

[luckyharr]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Why no turn 3-bet?

[/ QUOTE ]

I was just going to edit my post. Since I think the real dilemma is on the turn. The problem is that if I get capped I really don't want to fold (the river) against this guy.

[/ QUOTE ]

And you shouldn't fold the river if he caps the turn. This guy can give that kind of action with much less than the nuts.

[luckyharr]

Set of 5s, 8s both unlikely since this guy likely raises preflop with those hands... maybe set of 5s. But QT is unlikely for the same reason. He could have limped T7s, 76s, J8s, maybe J5s, possibly J9/JT. He could check/raise the turn with just one pair. I think you where well enough ahead to 3 bet the turn and call down if capped.

[Evigt_Drabbad]

3bet turn and call down a cap, bet river for value

[Solid_p]

[ QUOTE ]
3bet turn and call down a cap, bet river for value

[/ QUOTE ]

[PartyGirlUK]

The EV of betting here is &gt; $19