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  #1  
Old 08-05-2006, 04:18 PM
syncmaster syncmaster is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 315
Default Monthlys Question

I have been wondering about these monthly casino bonuses. I sometimes hit up the cryptos, but rarely. I have also hit up those $100/$30 bonuses (cherry, euro) once or twice.
I was just wondering, how much money am I giving up by not doing all of these, every month?

I stayed clear because they all seemed small EV with a hi risk of losing money or going busto. However, over a years time, I wonder how much I could of made from hitting up all of these every month.

Also, what would be my chances of loseing money doing this? I would be betting $2 or $4 a hand, and I am talking about over the course of a year.
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  #2  
Old 08-05-2006, 06:09 PM
WiSeIVIaN WiSeIVIaN is offline
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Default Re: Monthlys Question

Better $4 a hand, over a year doing many casino bonuses with an unlimited bankroll, you chances of loosing mooney are damn close to 0%...
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  #3  
Old 08-05-2006, 08:08 PM
wmspringer wmspringer is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
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Default Re: Monthlys Question

[ QUOTE ]
Better $4 a hand, over a year doing many casino bonuses with an unlimited bankroll, you chances of loosing mooney are damn close to 0%...

[/ QUOTE ]

I wish I had an unlimited bankroll.
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  #4  
Old 08-06-2006, 12:02 AM
136913691369 136913691369 is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: What do those #s mean?
Posts: 929
Default Re: Monthlys Question

[ QUOTE ]
I was just wondering, how much money am I giving up by not doing all of these, every month?


[/ QUOTE ]

ummm just add up the EV of the monthlies you skip, that is how much money you are giving up.
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  #5  
Old 08-06-2006, 08:43 PM
crovax4444 crovax4444 is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
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Default Re: Monthlys Question

well, for example, casino domain is 75x b $100 deposit $30 bonus. So that means your expected value is $18.75 * 12= $225 a year. However, cost of variance on $2250 worth of wagering is prob = around $5-$10 (estimated, I don't know the forumla offhand, and this is assuming a healthy bet size, I don't factor in $1 bet sizes because you obviously can do a poker bonus, making much more $ in the time it takes to do this in $1 bets), so your really missing around $105-165 a year for $27000k in WR. I'd much rather donk around at $25 NL and GRIND that [censored] BONUSLESS than do $27000 in WR (in an entire year) for that amount. This obviously differs per bonus, but cost of variance does account for a large reason on why these bonuses arn't fantastic.

Crovax
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  #6  
Old 08-06-2006, 09:14 PM
Wilco666 Wilco666 is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Netherlands
Posts: 462
Default Re: Monthlys Question

[ QUOTE ]
well, for example, casino domain is 75x b $100 deposit $30 bonus. So that means your expected value is $18.75 * 12= $225 a year. However, cost of variance on $2250 worth of wagering is prob = around $5-$10 (estimated, I don't know the forumla offhand, and this is assuming a healthy bet size, I don't factor in $1 bet sizes because you obviously can do a poker bonus, making much more $ in the time it takes to do this in $1 bets), so your really missing around $105-165 a year for $27000k in WR. I'd much rather donk around at $25 NL and GRIND that [censored] BONUSLESS than do $27000 in WR (in an entire year) for that amount. This obviously differs per bonus, but cost of variance does account for a large reason on why these bonuses arn't fantastic.

Crovax

[/ QUOTE ]

What is "cost of variance"? Never heard of it.
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