#1
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Variance and dreading the eventual downswing
I have been running extremely hot in July. It scares the crap out of me b/c I know variance will even things out and I'm facing a major downswing soon. When most people run hot, they try to play as much as possible. I just don't know how much longer this can last and I'm basically dreading every session. I'm usually a 4.5ptBB/100 winner in 1-2 NL; this is over a big sample size. I have almost doubled that for July. Today I sat down to play and I think the start of my downswing occured. I lost to 3 two-outers after getting it all-in during the first 30 minutes of my session. What did I do, I just stopped playing because I believed that it was only the beginning. What do you guys do when it seems the downside of variance is upon you?
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#2
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Re: Variance and dreading the eventual downswing
hooray gamblers fallacy
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#3
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Re: Variance and dreading the eventual downswing
Care to elaborate yves?
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#4
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Re: Variance and dreading the eventual downswing
[ QUOTE ]
Care to elaborate yves? [/ QUOTE ] hooray google |
#5
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Re: Variance and dreading the eventual downswing
ok... google.... now do you care to elaborate?
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#6
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Re: Variance and dreading the eventual downswing
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#7
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Re: Variance and dreading the eventual downswing
haha... why can't you save me the trouble and give me a reader's digest version. Help a brother out.
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#8
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Re: Variance and dreading the eventual downswing
did you google gamblers fallacy?
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#9
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Re: Variance and dreading the eventual downswing
Running hot or cold makes it no more or less likely that you will run hot or cold in the near future, things don't have to "even out".
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#10
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Re: Variance and dreading the eventual downswing
Your writing shows a serious lack of understanding of pretty basic concepts.
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