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  #1  
Old 07-26-2006, 03:35 AM
XChamp XChamp is offline
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Default The Monster\'s Effect on $2/$4NL 6max

I did a statistical analysis on the effect of Party Poker’s new Monster promotion on $2/$4 NL 6max.


69,435 hands at Party $2/$4 NL 6max (pre Monster promo):

Average player win rate was: -2.46 PT/BB/100


3,155 hands at a Party Monster $2/$4 NL 6max table:

Average player win rate was: -3.57 PTBB/100



This represents a 45% drop in win rate (1.11 PTBB/100). In other words, the average player is losing $8.88 MORE per 100 hands compared with before the Monster Promo.

Note that the average player win rate converges very rapidly. I would estimate that the error associated with my 3,155 hand measurement is about .2 PT/BB.

Also, I am uncertain how much my presence at the table affects these numbers. I think it should affect them very little
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  #2  
Old 07-26-2006, 03:38 AM
ZBTHorton ZBTHorton is offline
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Default Re: The Monster\'s Effect on $2/$4NL 6max

I just vomited in my mouth.
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  #3  
Old 07-26-2006, 03:40 AM
spino1i spino1i is offline
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Location: im a tagfish that always folds
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Default Re: The Monster\'s Effect on $2/$4NL 6max

[ QUOTE ]
I just vomited in my mouth.

[/ QUOTE ]

Now imagine what its like at .5/1 NL or 1/2 NL..
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  #4  
Old 07-26-2006, 03:46 AM
FoldEqu1ty FoldEqu1ty is offline
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Default Re: The Monster\'s Effect on $2/$4NL 6max

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I just vomited in my mouth.

[/ QUOTE ]

Now imagine what its like at .5/1 NL or 1/2 NL..

[/ QUOTE ]

I just vomited in somebody else's mouth. [img]/images/graemlins/crazy.gif[/img]
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  #5  
Old 07-26-2006, 04:27 AM
conslice conslice is offline
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Default Re: The Monster\'s Effect on $2/$4NL 6max

what about full ring 2/4 nl i just moved there 2 days ago had a great couple days. down 2 grand since the monster promo............. somebody talk to me
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  #6  
Old 07-26-2006, 04:30 AM
smartalecc5 smartalecc5 is offline
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Default Re: The Monster\'s Effect on $2/$4NL 6max

what a joke party is
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  #7  
Old 07-26-2006, 10:08 AM
los_toros los_toros is offline
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Default Re: The Monster\'s Effect on $2/$4NL 6max

[ QUOTE ]
what about full ring 2/4 nl i just moved there 2 days ago had a great couple days. down 2 grand since the monster promo............. somebody talk to me

[/ QUOTE ]
hello der.
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  #8  
Old 07-26-2006, 02:30 PM
XChamp XChamp is offline
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Default Re: The Monster\'s Effect on $2/$4NL 6max

Has anyone done anything similar at other stakes? I would really like to see a comparison.
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  #9  
Old 07-26-2006, 02:37 PM
rakemeplz rakemeplz is offline
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Default Re: The Monster\'s Effect on $2/$4NL 6max

[ QUOTE ]
what a joke party is

[/ QUOTE ]

Even after using the force, yoda was unable to vanquish the monster..
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  #10  
Old 07-26-2006, 02:41 PM
spino1i spino1i is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: im a tagfish that always folds
Posts: 2,429
Default Re: The Monster\'s Effect on $2/$4NL 6max

[ QUOTE ]
what about full ring 2/4 nl i just moved there 2 days ago had a great couple days. down 2 grand since the monster promo............. somebody talk to me

[/ QUOTE ]

Full ring is just as bad. 2/4 nl full ring is low enough stakes that its going to severely cut into your win rate playing on the monster tables. I mean you can still win, but probably for about a half as much as you used to. My advice: Play anywhere else than Party right now.
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