MLB 7/18

KJL · #1 07-18-2006, 03:56 PM

Atlanta +115
Tampa Bay/Twins Under 7.5 -124
YTD 9-7 +2.09
Will try to post my reasoning later.

KJL · #2 07-18-2006, 07:46 PM

Atlanta
I think Hudson bounces back tonight after a terrible start last time out and I doubt Marquis pitches as well as he did last time out. Atlanta is hitting very well lately and I think that they will continue there winning streak tonight.
Under Minn/Tampa
Obvious play with 2 very good pitchers vs. 2 very medicore hitting teams. Its a small number but I don't see there being a lot of runs.
And since I'm not playing cleveland tonight they are guranteed to win.

34TheTruth34 · #3 07-18-2006, 07:57 PM

I've seen a lot of people on the under tonight, claiming that it's the obvious play. While I could very well see a low-scoring game here (for obvious reasons), IMO, there are no free gifts from the books and no obvious plays. Well, except for Atl last night. Speaking of which, I am on them tonight again too with ya. BOL.

KJL · #4 07-18-2006, 08:55 PM

When I said obvious play I meant my reasoning behind it was very straight foward not that I thought it would be an easy winner. Of course since I wrote obvious play in there kazmir is now going to give up 8 runs in the the 3rd. But at least Atlanta is looking good right now. good luck with the rest of your picks tonight.

KJL · #5 07-18-2006, 09:55 PM

uh-oh bases loaded no outs in the 7th 4-0 Minn this is not looking good.

MCS · #6 07-18-2006, 11:49 PM

I took ov7.5 +112 just cause I thought Kazmir's injury might flare up or something. Also, I was getting plus money on a small total, and I am a sucker like that.

I did lose my bet on TB though.

KJL · #7 07-19-2006, 12:19 AM

Nice call on the over. I guess you were right about Kazmir becuase from the looks of it he was lucky to only give up 4 runs tonight. The tampa monelyine, I thought had some value although Liranio looked almost unhittable tonight.
YTD 10-8 +2.00

MCS · #8 07-19-2006, 12:45 AM

[ QUOTE ]
I guess you were right about Kazmir

[/ QUOTE ]

I suppose, but of course you never really know who was "right" re: sports betting because they're almost always small edges if they're edges at all. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Anyway, I think I'm totally a breakeven bettor right now.