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  #1  
Old 07-12-2006, 10:56 PM
Felipe Felipe is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Canada
Posts: 847
Default how much did this fack-up cost me?

How much money did I lose this hand? I mean, how much did my mistake cost me? I'm looking for the theoretical cost of the mistake. I lost the pot, that much is clear, I don't need any silly reminders.


[ QUOTE ]
PokerRoom 0.50/1 Hold'em (10 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. UTG+1 posts a blind of $0.50.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 (poster) checks, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button 3-bets</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG+1 calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero caps</font>, Button calls, UTG+1 calls.

Flop: (13.50 SB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, UTG+1 calls, Hero calls.

Turn: (9.75 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
UTG+1 checks, Hero checks, Button checks.


[/ QUOTE ]
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  #2  
Old 07-13-2006, 10:20 AM
Tom1975 Tom1975 is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 932
Default Re: how much did this fack-up cost me?

[img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]
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  #3  
Old 07-13-2006, 12:05 PM
BigBiceps BigBiceps is offline
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Posts: 3,571
Default Re: how much did this fack-up cost me?

~1 BB by not reraising the flop.
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  #4  
Old 07-13-2006, 02:20 PM
rapidacid rapidacid is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Location: Mellow Mood
Posts: 1,190
Default Re: how much did this fack-up cost me?

[ QUOTE ]
I mean, how much did my mistake cost me? I'm looking for the theoretical cost of the mistake.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think you're gonna lose a lot more in the future when you say to yourself "I gotta bet / raise the hell out of this to make up for last time" without thinking about possible opponent holdings ... don't let this get to you ... I'm assuming you won the hand, so at least your Aces didn't get cracked ...
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  #5  
Old 07-13-2006, 04:43 PM
Mustafa Mustafa is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 295
Default Re: how much did this fack-up cost me?

Without reads on your opponents, who knows?

I assume you meant mistakes with an "s".

Raise the flop and bet the turn. You had the nuts on the flop and you were only behind 76 or 32 (both unlikely) on the turn.

I threw up some semi-random hands to you could see what you might be facing and approximate equity on the flop and turn.

http://twodimes.net/h/?z=1827408
pokenum -h as ad - 8h 7h - 4c 4d -- 8d 4h ah
Holdem Hi: 903 enumerated boards containing 8d Ah 4h
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
As Ad 573 63.46 330 36.54 0 0.00 0.635
8h 7h 289 32.00 614 68.00 0 0.00 0.320
4c 4d 41 4.54 862 95.46 0 0.00 0.045

http://twodimes.net/h/?z=1827416
pokenum -h as ad - 8h 7h - 4c 4d -- 8d 4h ah 5c
Holdem Hi: 42 enumerated boards containing 5c 8d Ah 4h
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
As Ad 30 71.43 12 28.57 0 0.00 0.714
8h 7h 11 26.19 31 73.81 0 0.00 0.262
4c 4d 1 2.38 41 97.62 0 0.00 0.024
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