AK hand very late in $55k $11r

[kasey2004]

PokerStars Game #5522490023: Tournament #27707199, $10+$1 Hold'em No
Limit - Level XX (10000/20000) - 2006/07/11 - 03:32:04 (ET)
Table '27707199 121' 9-max Seat #7 is the button
Seat 1: Trent55 (389887 in chips)
Seat 2: handyman27 (354954 in chips)
Seat 3: Sivian (243322 in chips )
Seat 4: Ashy Larrrry (445114 in chips)
Seat 5: Kasey2004 ( 327744 in chips )
Seat 6: harangueman (197220 in chips)
Seat 7: pittrounder (332150 in chips)
Trent55: posts the ante 1000
handyman27: posts the ante 1000
Sivian: posts the ante 1000
Ashy Larrrry: posts the ante 1000
Kasey2004: posts the ante 1000
harangueman: posts the ante 1000
pittrounder: posts the ante 1000
Trent55: posts small blind 10000
handyman27: posts big blind 20000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Kasey2004 [As Kc]
Sivian: raises 40000 to 60000
Ashy Larrrry: raises 384114 to 444114 and is all-in

Hero ??

[kasey2004]

i suppose i could include a little bit of info... both players up to this point have been solid for the most part and not too aggresive do i call off my stack here against the other big stack at the table and hope for no AA or KK ?

or fold and hope for a better spot or more stealing ?

[BPA234]

With your stack I find a fold.

[JCool]

I don't think I could fold this. Everyone's Ms are so small (yours is under 9) and the table is 7 handed so the chip leader's rereasing range here has got to be wider than usual. Even if it isnt, you still have 43 percent equity against JJ+, AK, AKs with an overlay from short stack. Its just one of the many times in a 55k where you need things to fall your way.

Given the payout structure, even if this is slightly -CEV, I don't see how it could be anything but +$EV. With your skill level, I would say confidently that winning this hand should lead to a 4th place or better finish in the 55k. Congrats~

[AceLuby]

I call. At worst you're flipping, at best you're dominating.

[badluckal]

Fold Fold Fold. That much action from EP really devalues your holding.

[AceLuby]

[ QUOTE ]
Fold Fold Fold. That much action from EP really devalues your holding.

[/ QUOTE ]

What range is he open pushing with? If it's AA or KK, then yes a fold is correct, if it's more than that then I think you have to call. This looks most like 77-JJ that just wants it to steal the blinds.

[nath]

[ QUOTE ]
What range is he open pushing with?

[/ QUOTE ]

Uh, read the hand again.

This is actually a tricky one. I'm not sure what I would do; my instincts say "don't fold AK this late with these stack sizes" but you're rarely ahead, strictly speaking. So my answer is to cop out by saying "I'm going to bed; ask someone else".

[registrar]

Personally, I'm folding here, unless I have some reason to think that villain #1 is open pushing light from ep with an M of 8 and unless I have some reason to think that villain #2 is thinking the same way I am about villain #1 and is isolating light.

[kasey2004]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
What range is he open pushing with?

[/ QUOTE ]

Uh, read the hand again.

This is actually a tricky one. I'm not sure what I would do; my instincts say "don't fold AK this late with these stack sizes" but you're rarely ahead, strictly speaking. So my answer is to cop out by saying "I'm going to bed; ask someone else".

[/ QUOTE ]

very tricky... but i fold and UTG folds and i end up taking 4th for $4200 finding better spots against people that dont have me covered haha... i just wanted to get some insight on this one

btw ...

off topic but related to the coaching final tables my buddy was in here yelling CALL CALL CALL and i didnt.. :P