Blind defense floppin 2nd pair

LoaferGee · #1 07-02-2006, 09:10 PM

Villain is 30/18/2 over 50 hands roughly.

Party Poker 5.00/10.00 Hold'em (5 handed) link

Preflop: Hero is BB with K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
1 folds, Button raises, 1 folds, Hero calls.

Flop: (4.40 SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets, Hero calls.

Turn: (3.20 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets, Hero calls.

River: (5.20 BB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets, Button raises, Hero folds.

sharpie · #2 07-02-2006, 09:14 PM

I'd check/call the river. We might induce another bluff, and I don't really like the idea of c/c c/c b/fing against this villain.

LoaferGee · #3 07-02-2006, 09:16 PM

[ QUOTE ]
I'd check/call the river. We might induce another bluff, and I don't really like the idea of c/c c/c b/fing against this villain.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah the donk/folds on the river always feel wrong for me but I just hate the idea of missing value from all the pairs he could have that he'll check through.

Leader · #4 07-02-2006, 09:18 PM

check/fold - I don't think he bets a worse hand very often here.

dietlime · #5 07-02-2006, 09:21 PM

why not donk the turn?

sharpie · #6 07-02-2006, 09:24 PM

Assuming he has the same button range as me (I have a similar PFR%), he probably doesn't have many 7x 5x hands and might not pay off with them all if he did. So that leaves mostly pockets and 9x. However I could see him firing a 3rd barrel putting us on Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]T or something, or maybe hoping we'd fold a weak pair.

A good thing about your line is you probably won't get raised by better kings, and maybe weak aces.

Nick C · #7 07-02-2006, 11:35 PM

If I decided to show down, I think I'd just check-call.

MacGuyV · #8 07-02-2006, 11:38 PM

I def. like check/call or check/fold. It's possible but not likely he'll call w/ a worse hand. Also he may save you a bet by checking behind a stronger K.

econophile · #9 07-03-2006, 12:00 AM

i'm almost always check/calling the river

reasonable villains could bet TT-QQ and even some 9x hands here. and other villains will carry their bluff too far.

Kwaz · #10 07-03-2006, 09:48 AM

I think he is more likely to bet a worse hand on this river than he is to call with one.