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  #1  
Old 06-21-2006, 05:48 AM
joe234321 joe234321 is offline
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Posts: 113
Default Bluff or fold?

We are playing live 1/2 NL 10 handed

Villian1 hasn't done anything noteable so I have no good information on him other than he isn't a complete idiot.

Villian2 is very LAG. He bets a lot! He is a good player though and has a lot of experience. He makes a lot of moves

I have a very tight table image.

Villian1 - 175
Villian2 - 175
Hero - 300

I am BB with 8 :diamonds: 7 :diamonds:

folds
Villian1 raises to $11
folds
Villian2 calls
folds
Hero calls

flop: 2 :hearts: 6 :diamonds: 10 :hearts: (pot = $35)
Hero checks
Villian1 checks
Villian2 checks

turn: 10 :spades:
Hero checks
Villian1 bets $25
Villian2 calls
Hero ?

Of course I have the worst hand but a move here might be able to take down the pot. I figure that Villian1 is betting the turn with high cards or maybe 99 or 88. He doesn't have much and isn't calling a reraise. Villian2 on the other hand is who I need to worry about. Villian1's bet makes little to no sense and Villian2 must know it. He could easily be calling with air or a small pair planning on bluffing the river. I am pretty sure Villian2 would've bet the checked flop if he had anything. Unless he is slow playing a set. Since I have a tight table image betting here would have to be credited with a 10.

Anyway, I think a bluff here stands a good chance. Also, I believe I Villian2 will either have a monster or nothing at all.

What is a good size? I say $50 on top.

thoughts?
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  #2  
Old 06-21-2006, 05:51 AM
acidca acidca is offline
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Location: Manhattan
Posts: 1,765
Default Re: Bluff or fold?

are you sure villain1 wasn't hoping to check-raise on the flop, knowing villain2 is LAG and would probably bet?

edit: I only said that because it wasn't included in your line of thought. I still think this is a good spot to make a play, and your thinking is otherwise sound.
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  #3  
Old 06-21-2006, 05:58 AM
joe234321 joe234321 is offline
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Posts: 113
Default Re: Bluff or fold?

Villian may be planning on check raising the flop. However, I think he would lead with an over pair or A10. Even if he had JJ-AA there is a good chance he is folding to my represented trips
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  #4  
Old 06-21-2006, 05:59 AM
acidca acidca is offline
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Default Re: Bluff or fold?

Then this is a good spot.
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  #5  
Old 06-21-2006, 12:47 PM
joe234321 joe234321 is offline
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Posts: 113
Default Re: Bluff or fold?

anyone?
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