How likely to find AA holding KK?

[PokerGOAT]

If I am dealt KK under the gun at a ten handed game (or nine handed if you know that as well), how likely is it that at least one of my opponents has AA? It seems like a pretty complicated calculation and I was wondering if anyone knew. Thanks.

[r987r]

i think 1/20? I saw it somewhere, so I could be wrong (it might be 1/20 holding QQ and running into KK or AA)

[BowlMeOne]

I think he's correct...knowing one hand is KK that would put the odds of any other person having AA at 203-1...making the probabilty of any ONE of the other 9 players holding AA 1 in 22.55.


I'm no math expert...but thats how I'd figure it out.

[PokerGOAT]

[ QUOTE ]
I think he's correct...knowing one hand is KK that would put the odds of any other person having AA at 203-1...making the probabilty of any ONE of the other 9 players holding AA 1 in 22.55.


I'm no math expert...but thats how I'd figure it out.

[/ QUOTE ]


That's some "guesstimate" math there. [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img]

1 - (1219/1225)^9 isn't exact either but results in 22.13:1

I guess around 1 in 23 times is close enough.

[buzz_ly]

Pretty decent if a NIT 3bets.

[Kazuma]

I know at my 50 nl home game I was playing in today I was dealt KK one time and that one time my opponent had AA. We got it all in preflop.

[Sierra]

Well, I found it as the BB this weekend to a [censored] [censored] who limped A's UTG with 7 callers up to me. How dare I raise my K's? Then he pushes me all-in. Sweetness!

[Atlanta Andrew]

10-handed:

1 - (1 - (4/50)(3/49))^9 = 4.32% =

22.13 to 1

[Scottery]

[ QUOTE ]
I know at my 50 nl home game I was playing in today I was dealt KK one time and that one time my opponent had AA. We got it all in preflop.

[/ QUOTE ]

oh dear... BBV?

[Kazuma]

It could defently go in there. It would go under the brag section cause I suckout good [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]. KK > AA on a Q 9 x T J board.