Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > General Poker Discussion > Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 05-30-2006, 11:46 AM
antistuff antistuff is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 164
Default Is this really possible?

12,254 hands at 1/2 at 2.30bb/100 (I have been winning at 1/2 much longer than this, these are just all the hands I have recorded).
9,406 hands at 2/4 at -2.01bb/100

The sessions at 2/4 really just feel like I'm not getting the cards I need to win. I look back through my hands and I can find a bet I missed here or a fold I didn't make, but it really doesn't seem like I'm making huge mistakes. And its only 200bb, which isn't too bad. But what is bothering me how long its lasting. Its just like such a steady lose with almost no winning streaks at all.

So what do you think? Good possibility I'm a loser at 2/4?


I'm like 18/10/2.7 FWIW.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 05-30-2006, 11:50 AM
Dan BRIGHT Dan BRIGHT is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: v-town
Posts: 9,999
Default Re: Is this really possible?

Anything is possible if you pray really hard
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 05-30-2006, 11:52 AM
antistuff antistuff is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 164
Default Re: Is this really possible?

[ QUOTE ]
Anything is possible if you pray really hard

[/ QUOTE ]

Common you can do better than that [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 05-30-2006, 11:52 AM
coleco coleco is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: slave to the traffic light....
Posts: 279
Default Re: Is this really possible?

that is exactly what happened to me after moving up from .5/1 to 1/2. I have about 30k hands at .5/1 ... I moved back down said screw this then headed to NL and have not looked back [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

You're just running bad though , you'll be alright ...just a brutal stretch and small mistakes only add up after time
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 05-30-2006, 11:56 AM
Flintoff Flintoff is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 2,702
Default Re: Is this really possible?

To be losing 2BB/100 over such a huge sample size suggests to me you are a loser at 2/4. Did you manage to get that all onto 1 database on pokertracker or did you have to combine a couple?
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 05-30-2006, 11:59 AM
antistuff antistuff is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 164
Default Re: Is this really possible?

all 1 database.

really though, 4bb/100 of mistakes that didnt matter at 1/2?
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 05-30-2006, 12:08 PM
New001 New001 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Gogogogo, Madagascar
Posts: 6,914
Default Re: Is this really possible?

[ QUOTE ]
all 1 database.

really though, 4bb/100 of mistakes that didnt matter at 1/2?

[/ QUOTE ]
It's actually a lot more than that, PT uses a logarithmic scale to determine BB/100.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 05-30-2006, 12:10 PM
sightless sightless is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Brooklyn
Posts: 9,009
Default Re: Is this really possible?

yes it is very easilily possible.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 05-30-2006, 05:14 PM
IdiotVig IdiotVig is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: nitty nitty bang bang
Posts: 341
Default Re: Is this really possible?

[ QUOTE ]
Do I suck? Here are plenty of arbitrary numbers that clearly I derive statistical significance from, as should you.

[/ QUOTE ]

What's good for ailing variance?
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 05-30-2006, 05:35 PM
keikiwai keikiwai is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Hi. My name is Rosa Kato <3
Posts: 19,541
Default Re: Is this really possible?

no... wait, yes... wait, which question am I answering here...
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 02:29 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.