Call or fold?

[GripHoldOn]

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (7 handed)

SB ($166)
BB ($200)
UTG ($500)
Hero ($550)
MP2 ($199)
CO ($40)
Button ($80)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 6, 6.
99 calls $2, Hero calls $2, 1 fold, MP2 calls $2, 1 fold, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: ($8) 7, T, 8 (5 players)
UTG bets $6, Hero calls $6, MP2 folds, SB folds, BB folds.

Turn: ($20) 9(2 players)
UTG bets $25, Hero calls $25.

River: ($70) T (2 players)
UTG bets $476, and is all-in.

He hadn't made a play like this all session.

[a breath of air]

Without a very specific read this is a fold IMO.

edit: Missed that you have a straight flush, call.

[AllIn3High]

I was gonna start ranting about how there's no way you can fold a straight flush, but w/ 200BB stacks I can probably find a fold. This is like always J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] looking for a call from A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. EDIT: Or ofcourse from the boat/quads [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

[a breath of air]

Stats on villain would be helpful; although I still don't think I can fold this even vs. the very nittiest nit.

[tannenj]

sick hand.

how often does everyone think this is a boat?

[a breath of air]

Yeah I didn't think about that, all the full houses are trying to get you to call with the Ah, also although unlikely TT is in his range.

[GripHoldOn]

How different is this hand from 2h 3h 7h Jh Kd board holding the Kh?

In the original hand, doesn't the Jh simply "become" the new Ah, and the 6h "becomes" the Kh? Quads at third nuts are irrelevant, because the likelihood of having one of the other two cards is so high?

Anyone agree with me?

[tannenj]

i think the board being paired is very notable

[a breath of air]

IMO villain's range is TT, 99, 88, 77, AhX, JhX. You are 92% against this range making a call correct.

[tannenj]

Ahx is giving the villain very little credit, no?