Call or fold?
 

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (7 handed)

SB ($166)
BB ($200)
UTG ($500)
Hero ($550)
MP2 ($199)
CO ($40)
Button ($80)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 6http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, 6http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif.
99 calls $2, Hero calls $2, 1 fold, MP2 calls $2, 1 fold, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: ($8) 7http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, Thttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, 8http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif (5 players)
UTG bets $6, Hero calls $6, MP2 folds, SB folds, BB folds.

Turn: ($20) 9http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif(2 players)
UTG bets $25, Hero calls $25.

River: ($70) Thttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif (2 players)
UTG bets $476, and is all-in.

He hadn't made a play like this all session.

Re: Call or fold?
 

Without a very specific read this is a fold IMO.

edit: Missed that you have a straight flush, call.

Re: Call or fold?
 

I was gonna start ranting about how there's no way you can fold a straight flush, but w/ 200BB stacks I can probably find a fold. This is like always J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] looking for a call from A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. EDIT: Or ofcourse from the boat/quads [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

Re: Call or fold?
 

Stats on villain would be helpful; although I still don't think I can fold this even vs. the very nittiest nit.

Re: Call or fold?
 

sick hand.

how often does everyone think this is a boat?

Re: Call or fold?
 

Yeah I didn't think about that, all the full houses are trying to get you to call with the Ah, also although unlikely TT is in his range.

Re: Call or fold?
 

How different is this hand from 2h 3h 7h Jh Kd board holding the Kh?

In the original hand, doesn't the Jh simply "become" the new Ah, and the 6h "becomes" the Kh? Quads at third nuts are irrelevant, because the likelihood of having one of the other two cards is so high?

Anyone agree with me?

Re: Call or fold?
 

i think the board being paired is very notable

Re: Call or fold?
 

IMO villain's range is TT, 99, 88, 77, AhX, JhX. You are 92% against this range making a call correct.

Re: Call or fold?
 

Ahx is giving the villain very little credit, no?