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#1
08-25-2007, 10:38 PM
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Blind steal situation
330$ MTT, about 5 hours in. 60/132 people left. Average stacks around 22k. Blinds at 400/800
I raise to 2500 in HJ with A9o, folds to BB who calls. Flop 4-4-9 two clubs. BB checks, I bet 3500, BB calls Turn offsuit 8. BB checks, I bet 10,000. Read is that BB plays any hand OOP defending his blind and will stack off with a draw, 9,4, or even pocket 7s if he thinks im stealing. After the hand I didnt know if i was bluffing or value betting, which is usually not a good sign. 
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#4
08-26-2007, 01:31 AM
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Re: Blind steal situation
if your read that he'll defend the blinds with any 2, I'd feel pretty good about being ahead, TT+ re-raises or shoves.
sh*t luck if he called pf w/ A4 or K4 and got bingo, but most likely he has 2 overs, small pp, or club draw...club draw or 2 overs+club draw I think would c/r the flop so I think you're betting for value here (but what do I know, I suck)
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#6
08-26-2007, 06:35 AM
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Re: Blind steal situation
The turn I think is a check or push situation, cause with your 10k bet you commit yourself anyway, here I think the check is the much better choice.
If it is a blind defender you look for a showdown, as you will win it most of the time.
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#8
08-26-2007, 07:17 AM
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Re: Blind steal situation
if it is a blind-defender he will win most of the time, unless there is a winning card for villain on the river.
i don't think that this will be a blind defender anytime, it can be, but villain could hold an overpair to the nines too, or even hold a 4. i think this is a bet-size problem as i said, you can't value-bet without a push and as there is a good ammount of uncertainty i would keep the pot small and check the turn.
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#9
08-26-2007, 07:33 AM
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Re: Blind steal situation
Valueshove or valuebet as played turn...not much difference...the read means your definitely getting good value
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