Cant_wins week 3 predicts

[cant_win]

KC -3 - 3 units (tough place to play, young qbs never play well in arrowhead)
Denver -3.5 - 3 units (dont see jax scoring many on this tough d, see denver putting up at least 30 on one of the worst teams in the AFC)
Bills +17 - 1 unit (dont care who they are playing cause a 17 point spread in the NFL is just plain ridic!)
Oakland -3 - 1 unit (after 2 close ones and feeling like they had one stolen last week after the rat calls a TO a sec before oak kicks the game winner, i see them coming out fired up + clevland is terrible...last week was just an abomonation, not to mention oak d is solid this year and should all but shut out the browns)

NFL YTD 5-3 (up 1 unit)
NFL YTD on 2+2 0-0

Also, love USC(-25) at home on sat.

[govman6767]

(dont care who they are playing cause a 17 point spread in the NFL is just plain ridic!)


I've said that everytime I've taken the 17 using that as justification .... I've lost every time

[CutCreator]

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KC -3 - 3 units (tough place to play, young qbs never play well in arrowhead)
Denver -3.5 - 3 units (dont see jax scoring many on this tough d, see denver putting up at least 30 on one of the worst teams in the AFC)
Bills +17 - 1 unit (dont care who they are playing cause a 17 point spread in the NFL is just plain ridic!)
Oakland -3 - 1 unit (after 2 close ones and feeling like they had one stolen last week after the rat calls a TO a sec before oak kicks the game winner, i see them coming out fired up + clevland is terrible...last week was just an abomonation, not to mention oak d is solid this year and should all but shut out the browns)

NFL YTD 5-3 (up 1 unit)
NFL YTD on 2+2 0-0

Also, love USC(-25) at home on sat.

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I like KC as well, hopefully when I bet I can get 2 or 2.5. As you said Arrowhead is tough to play in, Jackson was awful last week with 4 picks.

The Denver game makes me nervous because the line hasent moved much and the public is on Denver at almost 70%. Last week the public was on the Bengals and the line didnt move much.

If the public was on the Pats big I would like the Bills, but im not sure about this game either. I will probably abstain.

I like Oakland as well because I think the Browns might be overvalued because they got to play against a JV defense last week, and the Raiders hung with Denver last week.

I am also watching the SD vs GB game to see how much the line gets bet up. Its at 5 now, I wonder if it will get to 6 or 6.5. If so I think I might look at taking GB.

[Schwatt]

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KC -3 - 3 units (tough place to play, young qbs never play well in arrowhead)


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I like KC as well, hopefully when I bet I can get 2 or 2.5. As you said Arrowhead is tough to play in, Jackson was awful last week with 4 picks.



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Take this analysis with a grain of salt because I am a Vikings fan:

Both are running teams. MN's run defense is way better than KC's run defense. MN's running attack has been better than KC's this year. MN pass defense has shown to be improved this year as well, only giving up 20 points(thru OT) to a pass-only Lions team last week(that was in addition to Minny's offense turning the ball over 6 times, twice in their own territory)

[cant_win]

First this is coming from a Cheifs fan so keep that in mind. With Jared Allen coming back from suspension, I give a slight edge to KCs d in this one. All week on the radio, all sportstalk guys are saying that LJ wants 40 carries. Herm said he isnt getting 40, but will get at least 30. The cheifs are 11-1 when he carries it more than 30 times. I just see emotion playing a huge factor in this game and the cheifs win in a romp.

[Schwatt]

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First this is coming from a Cheifs fan so keep that in mind. With Jared Allen coming back from suspension, I give a slight edge to KCs d in this one.

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Rose-colored glasses for sure dude. The Vikings are 6th in the league this year against the run, they were 1st last year by a wide margin. Their numbers against the pass are skewed, because nobody runs against them.

The Vikes are 3rd in the NFL for least points allowed, 1st in the NFL for defensive TD's, tied for 1st for sacks, and 2nd for interceptions.


From homer to homer, how about a no-vig side bet on the game?

[Performify]

This will not be one of the four (slight chance for five) games the Chiefs win this year, FWIW.

-P

[cant_win]

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First this is coming from a Cheifs fan so keep that in mind. With Jared Allen coming back from suspension, I give a slight edge to KCs d in this one.

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Rose-colored glasses for sure dude. The Vikings are 6th in the league this year against the run, they were 1st last year by a wide margin. Their numbers against the pass are skewed, because nobody runs against them.

The Vikes are 3rd in the NFL for least points allowed, 1st in the NFL for defensive TD's, tied for 1st for sacks, and 2nd for interceptions.


From homer to homer, how about a no-vig side bet on the game?

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That is cool with me. What book do you use? I use a couple of different books, like matchbook, wsex, and bodog Send me an IM on how much.

[kdog]

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Take this analysis with a grain of salt because I am a Vikings fan:

Both are running teams. MN's run defense is way better than KC's run defense. MN's running attack has been better than KC's this year. MN pass defense has shown to be improved this year as well, only giving up 20 points(thru OT) to a pass-only Lions team last week(that was in addition to Minny's offense turning the ball over 6 times, twice in their own territory)

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Detroit also turned the ball over 6 times in that game. A couple less and it would have been ugly. As it was the Lions ran up 415 total net yards on them.

What interests me in this game is KC's running game vs. Minn's run D. I'm not sold on this run D yet. I want to see how much of their ranking is due to their actually being able to stop the run and how much is due to the fact teams know they can throw all day against the Vike's secondary so they don't bother to run until they are protecting a lead. This week should help answer that question imo.

[facialabuse]

if denver somehow goes to 2.5 which wont happen that would be ills but it was 3 on sportsbook for like 5 seconds