Monster flop but facing 150bb shove

FionnMac · #1 10-02-2007, 11:32 PM

Villain is unknown but seems reg-ish/tag-ish. Gambool?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $6 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

BB ($487.37)
UTG ($328.16)
MP ($1737)
CO ($1054.25)
Button ($590.40)
Hero ($1105.05)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
UTG calls $6, 1 fold, CO raises to $24, 1 fold, Hero calls $21, BB calls $18, UTG raises to $60, CO calls $36, Hero calls $36, BB calls $36.

Flop: ($240) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (4 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG bets $85, CO calls $994.25 (All-In), Hero calls?

jlocdog · #2 10-03-2007, 12:05 AM

Is variance your friend?

rand · #3 10-03-2007, 12:08 AM

call, possibly a fist pump, UTG is almost never folding btw...

Irish Mafia · #4 10-03-2007, 12:08 AM

If he's a winning player, i'd fold quite quickly.

rand · #5 10-03-2007, 12:12 AM

[ QUOTE ]
If he's a winning player, i'd fold quite quickly.

[/ QUOTE ]

yeah, if hes good this should be a set, so i would fold

i misready pf stuff and assumed hes a donk...but if he is a donk then you can fist pump it

dtan05 · #6 10-03-2007, 12:16 AM

is UTG a donk?

FionnMac · #7 10-03-2007, 12:17 AM

[ QUOTE ]
is UTG a donk?

[/ QUOTE ]

yup. villain is 20/15 or smth over 60 hands so presumably decent but not 100%

Albert Moulton · #8 10-03-2007, 12:22 AM

Short handed I'd expect a wide range for a CO raise after UTG limps. I doubt he'd go all-in with nothing. He might have a lower draw, or even as little as TPTK. Or, of course, he could have a set or aces.

Board: Kd 8h 3h
Hand 0: 53.792% { KK+, 88, 33, AKs, AhJh, AhTh, KQs, JhTh, AKo }
Hand 1: 46.208% { KhQh }

Pot odds are ~1.33:1.

So, with about 46% (1:1.17) equity vs his range its marginally +EV to call.

Any reads that narrow his range would tip the decision to call or fold pretty quickly either one way or the other.

FionnMac · #9 10-03-2007, 01:10 AM

any more thoughts on his range anyone?

homeboy604 · #10 10-03-2007, 01:15 AM

your hearts, and pair might not be any good. i fold.