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-   -   Monster flop but facing 150bb shove (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=514380)

FionnMac 10-02-2007 11:32 PM

Monster flop but facing 150bb shove
 
Villain is unknown but seems reg-ish/tag-ish. Gambool?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $6 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

BB ($487.37)
UTG ($328.16)
MP ($1737)
CO ($1054.25)
Button ($590.40)
Hero ($1105.05)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
UTG calls $6, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises to $24</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls $21, BB calls $18, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $60</font>, CO calls $36, Hero calls $36, BB calls $36.

Flop: ($240) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
Hero checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets $85</font>, CO calls $994.25 (All-In), Hero calls?

jlocdog 10-03-2007 12:05 AM

Re: Monster flop but facing 150bb shove
 
Is variance your friend?

rand 10-03-2007 12:08 AM

Re: Monster flop but facing 150bb shove
 
call, possibly a fist pump, UTG is almost never folding btw...

Irish Mafia 10-03-2007 12:08 AM

Re: Monster flop but facing 150bb shove
 
If he's a winning player, i'd fold quite quickly.

rand 10-03-2007 12:12 AM

Re: Monster flop but facing 150bb shove
 
[ QUOTE ]
If he's a winning player, i'd fold quite quickly.

[/ QUOTE ]

yeah, if hes good this should be a set, so i would fold

i misready pf stuff and assumed hes a donk...but if he is a donk then you can fist pump it

dtan05 10-03-2007 12:16 AM

Re: Monster flop but facing 150bb shove
 
is UTG a donk?

FionnMac 10-03-2007 12:17 AM

Re: Monster flop but facing 150bb shove
 
[ QUOTE ]
is UTG a donk?

[/ QUOTE ]

yup. villain is 20/15 or smth over 60 hands so presumably decent but not 100%

Albert Moulton 10-03-2007 12:22 AM

Re: Monster flop but facing 150bb shove
 
Short handed I'd expect a wide range for a CO raise after UTG limps. I doubt he'd go all-in with nothing. He might have a lower draw, or even as little as TPTK. Or, of course, he could have a set or aces.

Board: Kd 8h 3h
Hand 0: 53.792% { KK+, 88, 33, AKs, AhJh, AhTh, KQs, JhTh, AKo }
Hand 1: 46.208% { KhQh }

Pot odds are ~1.33:1.

So, with about 46% (1:1.17) equity vs his range its marginally +EV to call.

Any reads that narrow his range would tip the decision to call or fold pretty quickly either one way or the other.

FionnMac 10-03-2007 01:10 AM

Re: Monster flop but facing 150bb shove
 
any more thoughts on his range anyone?

homeboy604 10-03-2007 01:15 AM

Re: Monster flop but facing 150bb shove
 
your hearts, and pair might not be any good. i fold.


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