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#1
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200NL; Facing large overbet on turn with TPTK
Villain is running at 30/3 with fairly low (1.5) aggression, although this aggression has mainly come on the turn. Has been complaining about a couple of (genuine) beats he took.
I have not often seen an overbet like this. How do you guys interpret it? What is your response? Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 max, 10 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) CO ($309.40) Button ($222.65) SB ($200.85) BB ($168) Hero ($195.55) UTG+1 ($40) UTG+2 ($353.20) MP1 ($158) MP2 ($329.92) MP3 ($253.40) Preflop: Hero is UTG with K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $1. <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $8</font>, <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, MP3 calls $8, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>. Flop: ($19) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $14</font>, MP3 calls $14. Turn: ($47) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP3 bets $60</font>. Final Pot: $107 |
#2
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Re: 200NL; Facing large overbet on turn with TPTK
Looks like a legit hand to me. Probably just called 88 or 99 and is scared of losing his action on a diamond/6/7 river
Best case scenario he's got AK too i'd say. I can lay it to a player with low aggression like this. |
#3
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Re: 200NL; Facing large overbet on turn with TPTK
He may be steaming after the beats, putting you on QQ-/AQ- (you checked turn remember?) and figuring he can take this pot. I call and reeval river. If you induce a bluff you have to call it.
JMHO. |
#4
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Re: 200NL; Facing large overbet on turn with TPTK
why would you check this turn OP? i can only think of two reasons, both of which will involve knowing what to do if he bets.
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#5
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Re: 200NL; Facing large overbet on turn with TPTK
Good comment. When I checked I did believe I was probably ahead, but was not confident enough in this to want to stack off. I was therefore looking to induce another bet on a dry board, and take down a medium size pot. The size of the bet was something I have not often seen - Belok's reasoning seems compelling to me as to why it might be made. Is the bet size sufficiently compelling for me to change original plan in this instance?
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#6
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Re: 200NL; Facing large overbet on turn with TPTK
i dont think you should call here because of the poor odds vs the amount of time its a better hand. i do think that your thinking was a bit flawed. you thought you were ahead here but didnt want to stack off. seems to me the best option is to bet the turn and fold to a raise. you should be behind almost all the time when he raises. if he just calls you can re-evaluate on the river. another reason to check the turn is because you feel sure you are ahead and that villain will put a lot of money in with a worse hand, in which case you can CRAI.
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