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  #21  
Old 04-24-2007, 09:43 PM
Exitonly Exitonly is offline
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Default Re: 100r: Short stacked final table hand

ok so did the icm calcs

at the start of the hand
MP: $8454.6
Button: $8988.1
Grafyx: $7993.5
BB: $191914.7
UTG: $13069.1

since it's the only one that matters, i'm just going to list grafyx's value for the follow different situations.

We fold, MP steals: $7551.8 (~ <font color="red"> $440 </font> )
We fold, MP doubles: $7268.8 (~ <font color="red"> $730 </font> )
We fold, MP busts: $8865.2 (~ <font color="green"> $900 </font> )
We call and win vs just MP: $11009.4 (~ <font color="green"> $3100 </font> )
We call and win vs both, BB wins sidepot: $11894.2 (~ <font color="green"> $4000 </font> )
We call and win vs both, MP wins sidepot: $12137.6 (~ <font color="green"> $4200 </font> )
We call and lose: $4900 (~ <font color="red"> $3000 </font> )

ok i got this far, and i feel like taking a break. i'll come back and weight the different outcomes some in a bit, but i'll post it now incase someone else feels like playing with it.
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  #22  
Old 04-24-2007, 10:16 PM
Proofrock Proofrock is offline
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Default Re: 100r: Short stacked final table hand

According to the ICM calculation done by SnG Analyzer, this is probably a fold. $EV call &gt;= $EV fold for any shoving range looser than 22+,A2+,K8+,Q7s+,Q8o+,J7s+,J9o+,T8s+,98s, and is a clear fold for any range tighter than 22+,A2s+,A3o+,KTs+,KJo+,QJs.

Edit: I screwed up the blinds the first time around.

Edit: This also assumes that BB always folds, which is definitely a bad assumption given the stack sizes. As a rough estimate, I'd be calling with: 44+,A9o+,A8s+

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  #23  
Old 04-24-2007, 10:52 PM
Eagles Eagles is offline
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Default Re: 100r: Short stacked final table hand

calllcallcalllcallcalllcallcalllcallcalllcall
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  #24  
Old 04-25-2007, 09:21 AM
grafyx grafyx is offline
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Default Re: 100r: Short stacked final table hand

[ QUOTE ]
According to the ICM calculation done by SnG Analyzer, this is probably a fold. $EV call &gt;= $EV fold for any shoving range looser than 22+,A2+,K8+,Q7s+,Q8o+,J7s+,J9o+,T8s+,98s, and is a clear fold for any range tighter than 22+,A2s+,A3o+,KTs+,KJo+,QJs.

Edit: I screwed up the blinds the first time around.

Edit: This also assumes that BB always folds, which is definitely a bad assumption given the stack sizes. As a rough estimate, I'd be calling with: 44+,A9o+,A8s+



[/ QUOTE ]

How do you enter the final table payout into SNGPT? Through the structure file?
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  #25  
Old 04-25-2007, 10:21 AM
registrar registrar is offline
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Default Re: 100r: Short stacked final table hand

[censored] all of these numbers. I'm calling.
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