#1
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$16 Stars: Early, Top 2, vs Action
Is this just exceptionally nitty?
PokerStars Tournament, Big Blind is t20 (8 handed) Converter on pregopoker.com UTG (t1500) UTG+1 (t1420) MP1 (t3040) MP2 (t1450) CO (t1630) Button (t1500) Hero (t1480) BB (t1480) Preflop: Hero is in SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] UTG calls t20, UTG+1 calls t20, MP1 calls t20, <font color="gray">MP2 folds</font>, CO calls t20, Button calls t20, Hero calls t10, BB checks Flop: (t140) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (7 players) Hero checks, BB checks, <font color="red">UTG bets t120</font>, <font color="gray">UTG+1 folds</font>, <font color="red">MP1 raises to t320</font>, <font color="gray">CO folds</font>, <font color="gray">Button folds</font>, <font color="gray">Hero folds</font>, <font color="gray">BB folds</font>, <font color="gray">UTG folds</font> |
#2
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Re: $16 Stars: Early, Top 2, vs Action
Either lead with a pot sized bet or check/raise all in.
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#3
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Re: $16 Stars: Early, Top 2, vs Action
Obviously, I was going to c/r all in, but I let it go when they started firing.
KJ just seemed like a good possibility in a 6 way limped pot. Even if it's just a flush draw + a gutshot, I'm only 57-43. http://twodimes.net/h/?z=2960313 pokenum -h ac qc - jh 3h -- ah qh ts Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing Ts Ah Qh cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV Ac Qc 563 56.87 418 42.22 9 0.91 0.573 Jh 3h 418 42.22 563 56.87 9 0.91 0.427 |
#4
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Re: $16 Stars: Early, Top 2, vs Action
If I'm checking I'm definitely shoving when it gets back to me. Usually I'd just lead here though and get it in by the turn.
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#5
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Re: $16 Stars: Early, Top 2, vs Action
Agree with splashpot. I'd always lead full pot here, but I'm assuming CRAI was the plan before the reraise?
Ugly but I probably go broke. There's plenty hands that like this flop in a limped pot and we're pretty strong. If it's KJ, just hit your 4 outer. AhKh (15 outs) is unlikely, as is TT/QQ/AA given preflop. AhJh and a bunch of other 12 outers are more likely, AT and smaller 2 pair are very likely indeed, at least one of them may have a naked A. There's some money in the pot and a 2nd villain who may call behind (a good thing here, I think). |
#6
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Re: $16 Stars: Early, Top 2, vs Action
if you lead the pot you need to be prepared to be called in a couple of spots and you might be in a really tough spot on the turn (K, J, heart).
so i probably go for a CRAI just to avoid the mess. |
#7
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Re: $16 Stars: Early, Top 2, vs Action
Wow, I'd fold this without feeling particularly torn about it, guess I'm a nit [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]
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#8
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Re: $16 Stars: Early, Top 2, vs Action
I like a c/r all in.
If you bet, you probably want to overbet the pot (200 or something) but c/r is better imo. |
#9
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Re: $16 Stars: Early, Top 2, vs Action
I would fold, too, even though you might be ahead here.
It's early, you have invested 0.67% of your stack, and the chance of facing KJ or a sooooted combo is very likley IMO. |
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