Is this a good MLB prop bet??

Vagos · #1 06-03-2006, 11:46 PM

Me and a friend got into a huge argument the other night about strength of the NL vs strength of the AL. While I conceded that the AL was the stronger league, I did not agree with him that the gap was overwhelmingly substantial. He talked about how the NL Central and NL West were a complete joke.

Ok, so long story short, he basically widdled it down to the Mets being the only NL team with a shot. I scoffed saying he was just making an off the cuff remark and didn't really mean that. Then he put his money where his mouth is. He took 2 to 1 and the Mets to reach the World Series.

I put up $50.
He put up $25.
Whoever's team makes the World Series representing the NL wins.
He has the Mets.
I have the field.

Good bet for me?

deucegame · #2 06-03-2006, 11:51 PM

um...yes? yes...unless i'm so drunk i completely don't understand...but...yes...

KJL · #3 06-04-2006, 12:29 AM

Yes, this is a good bet for you. Pinnacle currently has the mets to win the NL at +300. So your friend should be getting 75-25 odds rather than 50-25.

cookieb · #4 06-04-2006, 03:26 AM

Easily a great bet, your friend is not wise

MCS · #5 06-05-2006, 02:40 AM

Yes, very good bet for you.

People generally underestimate the field.

dkgojackets · #6 06-05-2006, 04:07 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Yes, very good bet for you.

People generally underestimate the field.

[/ QUOTE ]

Very true. Especially this early, any team can start making a big run and one or two injuries can keep the Mets out. Plus there's the Cardinals...

Moneyline · #7 06-05-2006, 04:41 PM

Add me to the chorus of people congratulating you on making a +EV wager.