NL 50, 2 pairs on turn vs an obvious overpair

[Acey]

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Button ($53.20)
SB ($11.75)
BB ($92.50)
Hero ($87.60)
MP ($51.45)
CO ($53.15)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises to $4</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, Hero calls $2.

I really like my odds here, cause i know for sure he's holding AA-QQ and im looking to stack him if i can beat that by the river.

Flop: ($8.75) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets $5</font>, Hero calls $5.

Straight draw and a pair, i know he wont slow down whatever card the turn will bring.

Turn: ($18.75) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets $9</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $27</font>, CO calls $18.

I must reraise big here, right? I hit 2 pairs, leaving him with 8 outs (AA,KK) or 12 outs with QQ. I must extract value here and still be able to get away from a paired up river. Is the reraise good?

River: ($72.75) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, CO checks.

Im beaten, but will a shove make AA,KK,QQ fold?

Final Pot: $72.75

[avfletch]

Fold preflop the first time. Even the second time it's pretty marginal. If you're read is that he always has AA-QQ and is never folding then I severely doubt this is +EV.

For a hand like this to be profitable you need some fold equity somewhere.

[Acey]

Well im basically getting 1 to 27 preflop. Or is it wrong to think like that?

[avfletch]

[ QUOTE ]
Well im basically getting 1 to 27 preflop. Or is it wrong to think like that?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes, because you're calculating the implied odds against his stack but not taking into account all the times you put extra money in while behind, like the flop of your hand above.