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#1
03-19-2007, 03:16 PM
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Re: 5h 6h 7h 8h
[ QUOTE ]
One more question, if I may. Can anyone count the odds for hitting (assuming all needed cards are live): flush straight straight flush [/ QUOTE ] I ran a sim in PokerCalculator by giving a player 5678 all hearts and made 22QQKA dead/seen cards. It dealt 100,000 hands and I added up the number of times it made each hand and got this: Straight: 22.2% Flush: 38.3% Str. flush: 14.1% Which looks right. Calculating for the SF, determine the probability of not making the SF with 3 cars to come: 1 - (40/42 * 39/41 * 38/40) = 13.94% You'll make a straight flush an incredible one in 7 times (almost) and make any of above hands 3/4 of the time. I'll still see if I can verify the others. 
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#2
03-19-2007, 04:49 PM
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Re: 5h 6h 7h 8h
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] One more question, if I may. Can anyone count the odds for hitting (assuming all needed cards are live): flush straight straight flush [/ QUOTE ] I ran a sim in PokerCalculator by giving a player 5678 all hearts and made 22QQKA dead/seen cards. It dealt 100,000 hands and I added up the number of times it made each hand and got this: Straight: 22.2% Flush: 38.3% Str. flush: 14.1% Which looks right. Calculating for the SF, determine the probability of not making the SF with 3 cars to come: 1 - (40/42 * 39/41 * 38/40) = 13.94% You'll make a straight flush an incredible one in 7 times (almost) and make any of above hands 3/4 of the time. I'll still see if I can verify the others. [/ QUOTE ] Thanks a lot! Very kind of you. So roughly one wins every second time with a hand like that. Worth betting with only one player in...
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#3
03-19-2007, 05:57 PM
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Re: 5h 6h 7h 8h
"So roughly one wins every second time with a hand like that. Worth betting with only one player in..."
NO!!!! (or yes, worth betting, but not winning 1 out of 2) You can win this hand many different ways, back into 2 pair, etc., not just flush/staight. You are a huge favorite over an average hand heads up. Vs. 0ne pair Q Q 2 6 (no hearts) 75% win Vs. Two pair A A 2 2 (one heart) you still win 57% of the time!!! Heads up!!!! Againt A A A K (no hearts) you still will win 48% of the time!!! And look at this. Vs. 2 2 2 5 (no hearts), you are favored!!!!! This hand is so big the only worry is how to get the most money into the pot.
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