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  #1  
Old 10-22-2007, 11:51 PM
Fat Nicky Fat Nicky is offline
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Default JJ in 3-bet pot. interesting river spot.

Villain is 20/16/3. AF by street: 3.7/2.7/2. W$WSF is 47.

I do not remember ever playing w/villain, so these hands are probably mostly all mined. (3K hands)

Full Tilt Poker, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

MP: $255.95
Hero (CO): $334.15
BTN: $114.70
SB: $205.30
BB: $205
UTG: $289.05

Pre-Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (CO)
2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $7</font>, 2 folds, <font color="red">BB raises to $25</font>, Hero calls $18

Flop: ($51) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $36</font>, Hero calls $36

Turn: ($123) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: ($123) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $88</font>, Hero ????

he needs to be bluffing ~30% of the time? thoughts?
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  #2  
Old 10-22-2007, 11:52 PM
Unknown Soldier Unknown Soldier is offline
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Default Re: JJ in 3-bet pot. interesting river spot.

fold in the dynamics atm.
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  #3  
Old 10-22-2007, 11:58 PM
jc1418 jc1418 is offline
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Default Re: JJ in 3-bet pot. interesting river spot.

fold, good chance hes got AK, I'd consider raising the flop too
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  #4  
Old 10-23-2007, 12:00 AM
JFsports JFsports is offline
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Default Re: JJ in 3-bet pot. interesting river spot.

I'd fold for sure
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  #5  
Old 10-23-2007, 12:02 AM
Fat Nicky Fat Nicky is offline
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Default Re: JJ in 3-bet pot. interesting river spot.

[ QUOTE ]
I'd consider raising the flop too


[/ QUOTE ]

folding the flop is suicide. no better hands folding, no worse hands calling. protection is not a good reason to raise either, because he will be drawing to between 2 and 6 outs only.
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  #6  
Old 10-23-2007, 12:03 AM
-DT- -DT- is offline
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Default Re: JJ in 3-bet pot. interesting river spot.

Easy fold. I'd be more inclined to call a 2nd barrel on the turn than on the river.
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  #7  
Old 10-23-2007, 12:06 AM
loosbastard loosbastard is offline
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Default Re: JJ in 3-bet pot. interesting river spot.

If I'm tilting, I call. If I'm not, I still might call. But yeah...folding is probably best the majority of the time.
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  #8  
Old 10-23-2007, 12:07 AM
ikestoys ikestoys is offline
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Default Re: JJ in 3-bet pot. interesting river spot.

if villain is any good, he's only showing up with AK or better. this would be a dumb bluff
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  #9  
Old 10-23-2007, 12:08 AM
Fat Nicky Fat Nicky is offline
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Default Re: JJ in 3-bet pot. interesting river spot.

[ QUOTE ]
if villain is any good, he's only showing up with AK or better. this would be a dumb bluff

[/ QUOTE ]

my line is really weak to him though, no?
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  #10  
Old 10-23-2007, 12:09 AM
loosbastard loosbastard is offline
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Default Re: JJ in 3-bet pot. interesting river spot.

[ QUOTE ]
if villain is any good, he's only showing up with AK or better. this would be a dumb bluff

[/ QUOTE ]

If everyone here is saying fold, it can't be THAT dumb.
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