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-   -   JJ in 3-bet pot. interesting river spot. (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=529046)

Fat Nicky 10-22-2007 11:51 PM

JJ in 3-bet pot. interesting river spot.
 
Villain is 20/16/3. AF by street: 3.7/2.7/2. W$WSF is 47.

I do not remember ever playing w/villain, so these hands are probably mostly all mined. (3K hands)

Full Tilt Poker, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

MP: $255.95
Hero (CO): $334.15
BTN: $114.70
SB: $205.30
BB: $205
UTG: $289.05

Pre-Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (CO)
2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $7</font>, 2 folds, <font color="red">BB raises to $25</font>, Hero calls $18

Flop: ($51) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $36</font>, Hero calls $36

Turn: ($123) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: ($123) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $88</font>, Hero ????

he needs to be bluffing ~30% of the time? thoughts?

Unknown Soldier 10-22-2007 11:52 PM

Re: JJ in 3-bet pot. interesting river spot.
 
fold in the dynamics atm.

jc1418 10-22-2007 11:58 PM

Re: JJ in 3-bet pot. interesting river spot.
 
fold, good chance hes got AK, I'd consider raising the flop too

JFsports 10-23-2007 12:00 AM

Re: JJ in 3-bet pot. interesting river spot.
 
I'd fold for sure

Fat Nicky 10-23-2007 12:02 AM

Re: JJ in 3-bet pot. interesting river spot.
 
[ QUOTE ]
I'd consider raising the flop too


[/ QUOTE ]

folding the flop is suicide. no better hands folding, no worse hands calling. protection is not a good reason to raise either, because he will be drawing to between 2 and 6 outs only.

-DT- 10-23-2007 12:03 AM

Re: JJ in 3-bet pot. interesting river spot.
 
Easy fold. I'd be more inclined to call a 2nd barrel on the turn than on the river.

loosbastard 10-23-2007 12:06 AM

Re: JJ in 3-bet pot. interesting river spot.
 
If I'm tilting, I call. If I'm not, I still might call. But yeah...folding is probably best the majority of the time.

ikestoys 10-23-2007 12:07 AM

Re: JJ in 3-bet pot. interesting river spot.
 
if villain is any good, he's only showing up with AK or better. this would be a dumb bluff

Fat Nicky 10-23-2007 12:08 AM

Re: JJ in 3-bet pot. interesting river spot.
 
[ QUOTE ]
if villain is any good, he's only showing up with AK or better. this would be a dumb bluff

[/ QUOTE ]

my line is really weak to him though, no?

loosbastard 10-23-2007 12:09 AM

Re: JJ in 3-bet pot. interesting river spot.
 
[ QUOTE ]
if villain is any good, he's only showing up with AK or better. this would be a dumb bluff

[/ QUOTE ]

If everyone here is saying fold, it can't be THAT dumb.


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