Stars 30+3 bvb bubble AQ big stack vs big stack

[rubenrtv]

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Let's do the math on this one. As Sherman suggested in a post earlier in the week we need to be more rigorous in our analysis otherwise it's just a bunch of opinions.

Using Rocco's range here's the equity via pokerstove:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 43.795% 37.20% 06.60% 764342976 135534840.00 { AQs, AQo }
Hand 1: 56.205% 49.61% 06.60% 1019352144 135534840.00 { 77+, AJs+, AJo+ }

Total pot will be 34834. It costs you 13142.

It's close (you are putting in 37.7% of the pot at the decision point) but you are getting the odds to call.

Question is, do you agree with the range?

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I honestly believe that most villains would shove lighter here. Hands as A9s, ATo are likely to be a part of his range in my opionion.