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#1
11-08-2007, 05:35 AM
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[50NL] AKs, river decision with TPTK against TAG
Villain is 23/18/8.3 over 133 hands.
Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players LeggoPoker Hand History Converter CO: $92.35 BTN: $27.20 SB: $50 BB: $126.55 UTG: $76.70 Hero (MP): $58.75 Pre-Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (MP) UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $2</font>, CO calls $2, 2 folds, BB calls $1.50 Flop: ($6.25) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players) BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $5</font>, CO calls $5, BB folds Turn: ($16.25) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $12</font>, CO calls $12 River: ($40.25) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $19</font>, <font color="red">CO raises to $73.35 and is All-In</font> It's about $21 more to call on the river. I think I'm beat a lot of the time here, but I am getting too good odds? 
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#3
11-08-2007, 11:36 AM
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Re: [50NL] AKs, river decision with TPTK against TAG
As played, i would definitly call the river, seeing villains AF is 8, I guess his river AF is off the scale and he just loves to shove those scarecards. As you are getting 4:1, and you only need to be good one out of 4 times, i'm calling here. He's definitly bluffing here more then 25% of the time.
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#7
11-08-2007, 08:21 PM
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Re: [50NL] AKs, river decision with TPTK against TAG
Even if he is very aggro, I cant think of anything he is doing this with that we beat other than complete air. Im not sure if he would turn a made hand into a bluff, it looks like he was drawing and hit. Just give him credit.
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#8
11-08-2007, 08:43 PM
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Re: [50NL] AKs, river decision with TPTK against TAG
fold this btch.
his range so weighted towards a flush it's a pretty easy fold.
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#9
11-08-2007, 11:13 PM
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Re: [50NL] AKs, river decision with TPTK against TAG
wow this spot sucks, you've put in over 2/3rds of your stack already here. But this still really feels like a fold.
This reminds me of the whole section in PNL dealing with how bad Big one pair hands play with stack/pot ratios 10+.
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#10
11-08-2007, 11:22 PM
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Re: [50NL] AKs, river decision with TPTK against TAG
Fold river given line.
He is very aggressive which is why his line sucks so bad for us. He slips into calling mode when I would expect him to raise either the flop or the turn with a FD, leaning to a flop raise. I am wondering what else could have been done in this hand. a) CRAI turn b) c/r flop c) c/f river I think there is a case to c/r the flop, villain is betting here a very high % of the time I think. This hand sucks and I can't really think of a good line.
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