#11
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Re: Next Problem: river gets CRd
[ QUOTE ]
So we stroll on down to valuetown and then we get checkraised. Who is calling? [/ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] He is capable of basically all kinds of randomness and bad play as his numbers would predict. [/ QUOTE ] I would be pretty shy about betting the river if I planned to fold to a C/R against this guy. Lots of guys with those stats, when I have a better feel for their post-flop play, I'll bet and fold to a C/R; and as Victor hints, I'll feel a little sick to my stomach calling a C/R here -- I think it's -EV but with nothing more than stats, it's a call I'll make more often than I should. |
#12
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Re: simple river question: probably boring.
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Here is a common situation. The villian is very LAG playing 50/23/2 or so. He is capable of basically all kinds of randomness and bad play as his numbers would predict. I am seated immediately to his immediate left. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] Full Tilt Poker Limit Holdem Ring game Limit: $10/$20 6 players Converter Pre-flop: (6 players) hero is CO with K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] UTG folds, <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 raises</font>, <font color="#cc0000">hero 3-bets</font>, 3 folds, UTG+1 calls. Flop: 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (7.5SB, 2 players) UTG+1 checks, <font color="#cc0000">hero bets</font>, UTG+1 calls. Turn: 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (4.75BB, 2 players) UTG+1 checks, <font color="#cc0000">hero bets</font>, UTG+1 calls. River: 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (6.75BB, 2 players) UTG+1 checks. Who is going to valuetown here? [/ QUOTE ] if is wtsd is sufficiently high, I'll value bet it. |
#13
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Re: simple river question: probably boring.
No one seems to think he might be clinging to a 5 or low pockets.
If so, the only shot at winning the hand is to bet the river. |
#14
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Re: Next Problem: river gets CRd
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So it seems pretty unanimous that this guy is very unlikely to have a pair. So we stroll on down to valuetown and then we get checkraised. Who is calling? [/ QUOTE ] I'm calling fast. So many missed draws available. -DeathDonkey |
#15
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Re: simple river question: probably boring.
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No one seems to think he might be clinging to a 5 or low pockets. If so, the only shot at winning the hand is to bet the river. [/ QUOTE ] No I would assume that never happens. |
#16
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Re: Next Problem: river gets CRd
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] So it seems pretty unanimous that this guy is very unlikely to have a pair. So we stroll on down to valuetown and then we get checkraised. Who is calling? [/ QUOTE ] I'm calling fast. So many missed draws available. -DeathDonkey [/ QUOTE ] I would call pretty quickly as well. Surf |
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