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#21
08-30-2007, 09:14 AM
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Re: Is it just me or is this ridiculous?
Hero: t4260
Hero raises to t2200 omg laughing too hard to read the others.... 
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#23
08-30-2007, 10:12 AM
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Re: Is it just me or is this ridiculous?
I know no strategy in BBV, but:
This is self-selection for exactly the same reason that "your lost keys are always in the last place you look." (You stop looking after you find them.) Even if you won all the hands you posted, you'd have continued playing poorly and end up losing eventually and would have posted the (now) last hand as evidence of how bad you run.
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#24
08-30-2007, 10:12 AM
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Re: Is it just me or is this ridiculous?
[ QUOTE ]
Hero: t4260 Hero raises to t2200 omg laughing too hard to read the others.... [/ QUOTE ] why? I'd like a 3 out hand or lower pair to call. I'd rather try double up with this hand than have the blinds go through me and have to push with A rag. I agree a push is fine but I don't think mine is a terrible play. Any other opinions on this hand?
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#26
08-30-2007, 10:22 AM
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Re: Is it just me or is this ridiculous?
[ QUOTE ]
I know no strategy in BBV, but: This is self-selection for exactly the same reason that "your lost keys are always in the last place you look." (You stop looking after you find them.) Even if you won all the hands you posted, you'd have continued playing poorly and end up losing eventually and would have posted the (now) last hand as evidence of how bad you run. [/ QUOTE ] come on what is so hard to see about this? These are not hands taken from my last 100 tourneys but from the last 16 I have played. If I had lost with worse hands/ coinflips and a couple beats I wouldn't be annoyed, but losing 9/16 where I had average of 75% equity counts as a beat surely. You say I have played poorly, please point out which hands you think I screwed up.
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#27
08-30-2007, 10:25 AM
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Re: Is it just me or is this ridiculous?
[ QUOTE ]
Any other opinions on this hand? [/ QUOTE ] Push. If someone is calling preflop for half your stack they are calling for your entire stack. Now someone break out the banstick for a thread encouraging strategery discussions in BBV.
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#28
08-30-2007, 10:52 AM
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Re: Is it just me or is this ridiculous?
[ QUOTE ]
come on what is so hard to see about this? These are not hands taken from my last 100 tourneys but from the last 16 I have played. If I had lost with worse hands/ coinflips and a couple beats I wouldn't be annoyed, but losing 9/16 where I had average of 75% equity counts as a beat surely. You say I have played poorly, please point out which hands you think I screwed up. [/ QUOTE ] Why is so hard for you to understand the selection bias here. I lose 100% of my final hands, no matter what cards I go in with (unless I win the whole thing). LDO. the fact that you lost 9/16 as 75% favorite is irrelevant. If you face this situation 7 times in a tournament, then you only have a 13.3% chance of surviving all 7. That's why tournaments have so much variance. There is nothing unusual about what you've presented.
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#30
08-30-2007, 01:43 PM
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Re: Is it just me or is this ridiculous?
If you were to go all in multiple times in tournaments as a 2:1 favorite, eventually you would bust out of all of them all and could post the last bust out hand of all the tournaments and say "look at me i run bad i always get my money in good and lose." but even if you busted out of all the tournaments as a 2:1 favorite you aren't necessarily running bad DUCY?
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