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NFL Week 3....(YTD: 34-27-1, +9 ujnits)
Please note that I have not factored juice into my units won/lost. Obviously this would affect my total a bit. All lines are from sportsbook at the time of this post.
Jets +5.5 at Buffalo, o/u 34.5 Jets are my surprise team this year, so I'll stick by them. I see this as a low scoring game that the Jets will cover even if they lose. Buffalo shouldn't be able to score more than 14 points here imo.Jets +5.5(3 units), under 34.5(1 unit) Cincy +2 at Pit, o/u 42 Tough call, but I simply think Cincy is the better team. They win this one outright imo, sending Steelers fans into worry. Cincy +2(1 unit), under 42(1 unit) Jacksonville +7 at Indy, o/u 44 Seven points is way too much here. Jacksonville showed a lot on MNF, although it was at home. Their D will not let the Colts rush the ball at all, making them very one dimensional. I expect a lower scoring affair, and I'll go ahead and predict that Jacksonville wins outright. Jacksonville +7(8 units), under 44(2 units) Tenn +10.5 at Miami, o/u 36.5 Miami simply isn't good enough to be laying double digit points. Tenn +10.5(55 units), under 36.5(1 unit) Wash -4 at Hous, o/u 37.5 Pains me to say this, but Washington shouldn't be laying points on the road here. Hous +4( 1unit), under 37.5(1 unit) Chi -3 at Minn, o/u 34 Been on the Minnesota bandwagon all year. BTW, what the hell kind of schedule is it to open open against 3/4 of last year's final 4 NFC playoff teams? No way Minnesota should be a home dog to any team in the entire league...they're so underrated its funny. Jacksonville was too, but maybe not after Monday. Minn +3(5 units), over 34(1 unit) Car -3 at TB, o/u 34.5 Meh...flip a coin. When in doubt, I'll go with the home team getting points. They both seemed very good last year; They've both been big disappointments this year. As I said, I'll go with the home team getting points. TB +3(1 unit), under 34.5(1 unit) GB +6.5 at Det, o/u 39 I don't think Detroit is good enough to blow anyone out, so I'll take the points here. GB +6.5(1 unit), under 39(1 unit) Balt -7 at Cle, o/u 33 Another game I'm rather "coin flippish" about. I went against the Ravens last week and it cost me...not this week. Balt -7(1 unit), over 33(1 unit) Stl +4.5 at Ariz, o/u 45 St Louis sucks on the road. I was all over SF last week. This line is definitely more fair, but I'll still take Arizona.Ariz -4.5(1 unit), under 45(1 unit) NYG +4 at Sea, o/u 44.5 Tough game to pick. I think the line should be 3, so I'll take the extra point. NYG +4(1 unit), under 44.5(1 unit) Philly -6 at SF, o/u 41.5 Philly is one of the more overrated teams in the league. They're simply not a good team, as evidenced by them giving away a game last week. Why are they a TD road favorite? I think this game should be pick 'em. SF +6(5 units), over 41.5(2 units) Den +6.5 at NE, o/u 39.5 Denver has just looked so bad its tough to go with them. NE -6.5(1 unit), under 39.5(1 unit) Atl -3 at NO, o/u 42 I'm going to hold off on the Monday night game for now....will pick later in the week |
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