NFL Thursday

[Homer]

starting to look at some props...

saints u24 +110 on bodog looks solid.

[nuSFwck]

I don't know much about sports betting, but isn't it bad to bet the favorite minus the points AND the under?

[grdred944]

[ QUOTE ]
I think Indy will win this easily. The Saints offense makes this seem like it will be closer than it will be. The top AFC vs top NFC is -7, so with home field advantage I like Colts here at -6. Might be close at half, but look for the Colts to be dominate in the second half.

[/ QUOTE ]

I like Indy for the win but I expect a wide open first quarter possibly extending into the second before adjustments are made. You may see 21 points in the first quarter the way these two teams play. The key will be how well N.O. adjusts on defense and whether they try to pound Indy's run defense in hopes of keeping the ball out of Manning's paw for as long as possible.

I took N.O. but am staying away from O/U on this. First week and all that. Indy by 2 or 3.

[New001]

I took NO +3.5 1H at -115.

[icetonez]

I went big on Indy moneyline.

[phifediggy]

To win 1 unit on each:

Colts -6 (-105)

Under 53.5

Colts PK & Under 59

Also have Colts PK in 3 other teasers/parlays

[dankhank]

saints +6 -110 at SIA seems like a very standard NFL +EV bet

i believe i heard last night the colts lost 5 starters on D from last year including their best player

[Pudge714]

Party has a no vig bet.
Colts -217
Saints +217.
Is there any value here?
Edit: Typo

[rjp]

Pudge, do you mean Colts -217 and Saints +217? If so, then Saints have some value, yes.

[Sevenfold]

Going against last years SBowl winner in the opening week the following year was running a cover rate at about 68% a few years back.

Saints plus points should be an automatic trend play.