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#21
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with stats like this guy's why is he 3banging 99? AT? AQ maybe, but unlikely given the fact that I've got two of the Qs in the deck. AJs? if so then i'm super screwed with the spades on the board. 3banging AJs seems a little above this guy's level. TT is unlikely given his continued aggression on the flop with the J on the board and given his TAF. What does this leave me with? JJ, KK, AA, AK all beat me. AJs beats me. With this being the hand range that I put my opponent on, how often is it that he's bluffing with AQ or TT ? Enough that I show down getting 12 to 1?
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#22
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[ QUOTE ]
with stats like this guy's why is he 3banging 99? AT? AQ maybe, but unlikely given the fact that I've got two of the Qs in the deck. AJs? if so then i'm super screwed with the spades on the board. 3banging AJs seems a little above this guy's level. TT is unlikely given his continued aggression on the flop with the J on the board and given his TAF. What does this leave me with? JJ, KK, AA, AK all beat me. AJs beats me. With this being the hand range that I put my opponent on, how often is it that he's bluffing with AQ or TT ? Enough that I show down getting 12 to 1? [/ QUOTE ] I agree |
#23
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Nerdking -- Perfectly played hand, all streets. Good work
Anyone saying fold the turn (I assume you mean this specific turn and not a generic, non-spade turn) -- this is just wrong. Pot is 9.75, so almost no matter how much you discount the flush outs (and gutshot outs), you have sufficient odds to call. |
#24
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CR, i'd like to know why you think that i shouldn't have 3bet the flop. I've got an idea and i'd like your input.
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#25
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As played, once the river hits I think we're ahead more than 9% of the time. I think the decision may be close, which makes it more difficult.
3-bet the flop though for a little defining/value. |
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