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  #11  
Old 09-21-2007, 05:14 PM
Specialwon Specialwon is offline
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Default Re: 100NL - A Mugging in Broad Daylight

I have tried this a couple of times either with TT or JJ and both times villain has just shoved. Maybe I was unlucky, but the point is you need to be sure you're picking on the right guy. As played are you really calling an overshove?
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  #12  
Old 09-21-2007, 05:54 PM
AceHigh AceHigh is offline
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Default Re: 100NL - A Mugging in Broad Daylight

[ QUOTE ]
Do I think he is playing back light? Yes I am sure of it. He plays back 40% of the time, raising nearly all of them. So lets say that 35% of every call he makes, he is raising the flop.

[/ QUOTE ]

Isn't that about the right % for him to make a hand and play back?

He will flop 1 pair on more about 32% of the time that he calls with unpaired hands. And an A,K, Q or J will not appear on the flop about 30% of the time he has a pocket pair lower than that, so he could raise safe flops and flops he makes a set (~12%).

If he has a pair half the time, he will play back 42% + 32% / 2 of the time for right around 35-40% of the time.
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  #13  
Old 09-21-2007, 06:03 PM
Fiasco Fiasco is offline
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Default Re: 100NL - A Mugging in Broad Daylight

I think that this is all about villains willingness to call a threebet with AJ or AQ. In general this play (your play) isnt something I like that often but since youre seeing a vulnerability in your opponents game my hat is off to you for trying to exploit it.

If you think hell actually get off of a good Ace then I think this is a great play.
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