$26 Satellite, A9 call please help

[Isura]

I would call. You are almost 63% against a random hand, and can fold into a seat if you win. and I think your chances of winning a seat if you fold is closer to 50%.

[donquay]

I'd probably call here since it doesn't look like you can fold your way ITM.

observation: villain looks to be quite a moran...guess he isn't familiar with folding into the money & really wants to win 1st place.

[Tackleberry]

Fold! I have to agree with b-komplex here ("... even if we knew that Villain had 72o ...").

I played several satellites, especially for the FTOPS and this is a tough spot, nevertheless it´s a fold. You can glide ITM with one single chip here and have no disadvantage. Remember that Villain´s line indeed is a big advantage for Hero!! Two players are severely shortstacked (not being crippled is relative here [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img]) and Villain puts maximal pressure on them! OP just has to survive four players and there are four tables left - somebody WILL make a mistake and call with a mediocre hand (like a PP running into Aces). So stay cool and don´t switch into panic mode. I won several satellites with one single BB left, literally folding everything over more than four orbits. Surely you have no guarantee, but a 60% chance here is no really great deal ... it would be a difference if 6 were left and four were paid. But with 22 players there are plenty of chances for somebody to bust.

By the way: the tragedy of satellites is, that you´ll feel bad either way. If you call and lose, you´ll feel donkish. If you fold and will be blinded out later on, you´ll feel donkish as well. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]