NL 50 QQ river decision

[infinite_loop]

I disagree, I see a lot of mid pocket pairs calling down here, especially if they're calling stations as it is. The K makes it interesting, but I don't think his call is that defining.

[Capone]

I'd make a $12 value bet on the river.

CHecking behind on the turn is ok, so is betting.

[crushednuts]

betting 12 commits you to calling the rest of his stack. I don't like it. Any value bet almost forces you to call his shove given that he only started w/ $33. I would just check behind and hope he didn't spike a king on the turn

[blackize]

Bet, he's calling with any ten.

[Capone]

exactly A10 snap calls. Your losing value by checking.

[blackize]

[ QUOTE ]

betting 12 commits you to calling the rest of his stack. I don't like it. Any value bet almost forces you to call his shove given that he only started w/ $33.

[/ QUOTE ]

Betting doesn't force you to call anything. $2 went in PF, 3 on the flop, 6 on the turn. THat totals $11 leaving him with $22. If you bet 12 and he shoves the pot is 22+12+22=54 giving you 4.5:1 on a call. You're only committed to calling a shove if he is capable of bluffing or CRing AT that often.

He's a station. Let him do what he does best and call your river bet.

[Capone]

Exactly.

[hunt1897]

I would bet a little more on turn. Ck. River. As played, ck.

[ama0330]

I check the turn and value bet the river. I dont like a turn bet because on this board no worse hand will call.