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-   -   NL 50 QQ river decision (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=457448)

Yazoo 07-22-2007 08:21 AM

NL 50 QQ river decision
 
Titan No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25/$0.50BB (Titan HH Converter by Kreatief)

BB ($93.65)
MP3 ($27.16)

CO ($10.00)
Button ($51.50) (Hero)
SB ($33.20)

Preflop: Hero is Button with Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
<font color="#666666">1 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to 2.0</font>, SB calls $1.75, <font color="#666666">1 folds</font>,

Flop: T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ( $4.5 )
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $3.00</font>, SB calls $3.00,

Turn: K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ( $10.5 )
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $6.00</font>, SB calls $6.00,

River: 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ( $22.5 )
SB checks, Hero ???

opponent 30/5/0.5

Bet (amount) or check behind ?

infinite_loop 07-22-2007 08:40 AM

Re: NL 50 QQ river decision
 
Honestly, if you didn't get a raise on the turn, most of the time it's not a boat. Some opponents will check 3 times here with a boat but you can't assume that. I think I value bet here because it looks a lot like JJ/99/88/77. I probably bet something like 12.

mvdgaag 07-22-2007 08:58 AM

Re: NL 50 QQ river decision
 
I mostly check behind on the turn... He showed interrest in the flop or could have called with 2 overs. There are too many worse hands than yours that will fold and too many good hands that will check/raise here for me to like a bet. A person with a lower vpip might have more underpairs in his range and less hands that contain a king or even a four that will hopefully call a small bet. I'm not very sure about this opponent though so I think both plays are good.

As played the river is an easy bet. He can't have a flush or straight, two pair is highly unlikely and with trips he'd have bet or checkraised the turn. Only this is enough reason to figure you have the best hand here. His check on the river also exclude 64 and 66 or he'll be risking you checking behind... You can be almost certain you have the best hand. I'd bet somewhat less than half the pot because I think that'll get a call from most hands here (AT, 88, etc).

rakes.a.beach 07-22-2007 11:33 AM

Re: NL 50 QQ river decision
 
it's close. I'd probably check here.

wulfpacker21 07-22-2007 11:34 AM

Re: NL 50 QQ river decision
 
check

sightless 07-22-2007 11:36 AM

Re: NL 50 QQ river decision
 
i check

while you probably have the best hand a lot here, he isnt calling a good value bet with many hands that you beat :/

joelav128 07-22-2007 11:50 AM

Re: NL 50 QQ river decision
 
i like value betting here, maybe around $8

vixticator 07-22-2007 11:53 AM

Re: NL 50 QQ river decision
 
You have the best hand an overwheling amount of the time here and this person is a station. Bet. He won't shove without a full house. He's got JT+, K9+, 22+, given how flop and turn went he doesn't want to fold. It's possible he will even call Ax here, but highly unlikely.

aka_bebel 07-22-2007 12:17 PM

Re: NL 50 QQ river decision
 
Don't think JJ/TT/99/88/77 will call flop turn and river so I think I'll check behind .
You bet FLOP and TURN and he called.I think a small PP will fold TURN a lot of times.

Lego05 07-22-2007 12:24 PM

Re: NL 50 QQ river decision
 
I might have checked behind on turn.

I bet ~12 on river here.


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