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  #1  
Old 07-09-2007, 12:31 AM
Worm75 Worm75 is offline
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Default Re: (100NL) - You\'re kidding!? I\'m beat here!?

Don't fool yourself, sample size is really small, but from what you've seen he plays passive and misses value....

I don't see him showing up with any hand that contains a T here, unless he flopped Quads, not with the UTG raiser still to act behind him.

He might show up with 77 here, but I lean a lot more to JJ/AA here in this spot with the way that he has played this hand. He smoothcalls with JJ for obvious reasons, but a lot of times donks will slowplay a hand like AA here in the hope of bringing along more money.

But like the Accountant said you only beat a bluff here, so time to fold and move on.
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  #2  
Old 07-09-2007, 12:27 AM
spyderracing spyderracing is offline
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Default Re: (100NL) - You\'re kidding!? I\'m beat here!?

[ QUOTE ]
If your read on BB is correct I would just fold here.

even without the read you beat only a bluff or maybe a spewtard with spades or something

[/ QUOTE ] The guy cold called a 3-bet pf oop. I think there is a very small range of hands he can be on here and we have good equity against those. I say he's on TT+/AK, heavily favoring QQ/JJ.
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  #3  
Old 07-09-2007, 12:32 AM
The.Accountant The.Accountant is offline
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Default Re: (100NL) - You\'re kidding!? I\'m beat here!?

I was going to say to bet the turn, but then when I looked at the stacks I saw taht you couldnt get away from the hand after that...but now that I see that he did CC a 3-bet, I do think that QQ-JJ are in his range, as are AA and sets when he calls the flop.

c/f here is very weeak and he could havea lot of crap, so I think an open shove is right on the turn now.
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  #4  
Old 07-09-2007, 12:33 AM
DawnToDusk DawnToDusk is offline
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Default Re: (100NL) - You\'re kidding!? I\'m beat here!?

You don't think he can why no ATs/KTs type hands? I couldn't tell you how he plays a 3bet hand out of position or what he 3bet calling range consists of, but are these not hands that we have to consider given his stats?
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