#1
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(100NL) - You\'re kidding!? I\'m beat here!?
Ahhhhh I don't know if I butchered this hand or what. I was so confused about what to do. Here are the players stats that are important:
UTG player has stats of 60/16/2.4 over 135. Hes just a huge donk and is going to the river a ton. BB player has stats of 37/8/.8 over 55 and is pretty passive. Misses value bets and the likes. Absolute Poker No Limit Holdem Ring game Blinds: $0.50/$1 6 players Converter Stack sizes: UTG: $39 UTG+1: $73.50 CO: $50 Button: $18.10 Hero: $120.25 BB: $115.95 Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is SB with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#cc0000">UTG raises to $3</font>, 2 folds, Button calls, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $13.5</font>, BB calls, UTG calls, Button folds. Flop: T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($43.5, 3 players) <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $26</font>, BB calls, UTG folds. Turn: 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($95.5, 2 players) Hero checks, <font color="#cc0000">BB bets $70</font>, Hero ??? <font color="blue">What could vill have here? After an UTG raise, a call and a reraise he just cold calls. So sick. I don't know how he plays his small and mid pocket pairs but I sure don't think he would this way. He is missing value bets and stuff and seems to think that his opponent "always" has him unless he has a really strong hand. So does that mean he has JJ+ or some other sick hand like ATs/KTs? I guess he could have 77 also but it seems like a hand that had a Tx or 77 would definitely value bet in this spot instead of shove. I don't think he plays a spade draw like this either. It is a small sample size but his stats say he wouldn't. Ughhhhhh Im going insane. Comments appreciated everywhere.</font> |
#2
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Re: (100NL) - You\'re kidding!? I\'m beat here!?
call; then watch villan flop j 10
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#3
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Re: (100NL) - You\'re kidding!? I\'m beat here!?
nice stack-a-donk
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#4
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Re: (100NL) - You\'re kidding!? I\'m beat here!?
What hand range do you have him on?
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#5
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Re: (100NL) - You\'re kidding!? I\'m beat here!?
If your read on BB is correct I would just fold here.
even without the read you beat only a bluff or maybe a spewtard with spades or something |
#6
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Re: (100NL) - You\'re kidding!? I\'m beat here!?
Okay. If I had just given you his stats what would you do? I just feel like I am going to have some nightmares tonight. =(
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#7
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Re: (100NL) - You\'re kidding!? I\'m beat here!?
[ QUOTE ]
Okay. If I had just given you his stats what would you do? I just feel like I am going to have some nightmares tonight. =( [/ QUOTE ] I'd bet the turn. |
#8
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Re: (100NL) - You\'re kidding!? I\'m beat here!?
[ QUOTE ]
If your read on BB is correct I would just fold here. even without the read you beat only a bluff or maybe a spewtard with spades or something [/ QUOTE ] The guy cold called a 3-bet pf oop. I think there is a very small range of hands he can be on here and we have good equity against those. I say he's on TT+/AK, heavily favoring QQ/JJ. |
#9
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Re: (100NL) - You\'re kidding!? I\'m beat here!?
Don't fool yourself, sample size is really small, but from what you've seen he plays passive and misses value....
I don't see him showing up with any hand that contains a T here, unless he flopped Quads, not with the UTG raiser still to act behind him. He might show up with 77 here, but I lean a lot more to JJ/AA here in this spot with the way that he has played this hand. He smoothcalls with JJ for obvious reasons, but a lot of times donks will slowplay a hand like AA here in the hope of bringing along more money. But like the Accountant said you only beat a bluff here, so time to fold and move on. |
#10
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Re: (100NL) - You\'re kidding!? I\'m beat here!?
I was going to say to bet the turn, but then when I looked at the stacks I saw taht you couldnt get away from the hand after that...but now that I see that he did CC a 3-bet, I do think that QQ-JJ are in his range, as are AA and sets when he calls the flop.
c/f here is very weeak and he could havea lot of crap, so I think an open shove is right on the turn now. |
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