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#11
12-01-2006, 11:06 AM
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Re: Wong Teasers
If you are teasing from -9 or +3 then they aren't real wong teasers. Like Thremp said, that alone would probably make your statement true, but it's not saying much.
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#12
12-06-2006, 12:35 PM
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Re: Wong Teasers
I make the breakeven points to be:
+100-2team: 0.707 +180-3team: 0.709 +300-4team: 0.707 The following are the probabilities that the actual win percentage is below 0.707: away -9: 20.8% away -8.5: 47.6% away -8: 44.2% away -7.5: 91.7% away +2.5: 79.3% away +3: 76.2% Those numbers are almost the same for 0.709 (obviously).
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#13
12-07-2006, 12:56 AM
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Re: Wong Teasers
[ QUOTE ]
I make the breakeven points to be: +100-2team: 0.707 +180-3team: 0.709 +300-4team: 0.707 The following are the probabilities that the actual win percentage is below 0.707: away -9: 20.8% away -8.5: 47.6% away -8: 44.2% away -7.5: 91.7% away +2.5: 79.3% away +3: 76.2% Those numbers are almost the same for 0.709 (obviously). [/ QUOTE ] I feel stupid. How did you arrive at these #'s, and what do they mean? [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] I thought I knew at first, but they run kinda counter to what I would have thought they would be.
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