600NL - bottom set facing heat - Page 2

Tupacia · #11 10-05-2006, 05:39 PM

Even if we knew that there was a 75% chance that villain has AT here and a 25% chance that he has some random two pair, isn't it still a push because of the river outs we have against his straight? I also think villain is more likely to have KQ here than AT.

thejerkface · #12 10-05-2006, 05:42 PM

I smile and push all in.

bigt439 · #13 10-05-2006, 06:14 PM

[ QUOTE ]
yves,

I don't think I run great, but I don't really think that has a lot to do with it, the 3/6 is just a very passive game. By far his most likely hand here is AT.

[/ QUOTE ]

really? i think its kq. not that he never has at or anything. sure he does and probably with decent frequency... but i really doubt its by far his most likely hand. im seomwhere in between you and sensei here.

Yeti · #14 10-05-2006, 06:42 PM

ok 'by far his most likely hand' was maybe a bit ott, i was just alarmed that sensei didn't even mention it.

a lot of opponents won't even raise kq or worse on the turn here.

Snipe · #15 10-05-2006, 06:58 PM

I take a more conservative approach here and call followed blocker of about 1/3 pot. I call a raise if river is not a spade.

I do worry quite a bit about T9s in this spot though as the overcall in my mind is generally suited connectors, med pair, or in this case, KQ.

I think a shove here loses value with stacks that deep unless you give him Ax of spades.

Mr_Blonde · #16 10-05-2006, 07:20 PM

Money went in, he had A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

Still figured I couldn't fold though, just wanted to check