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#12
03-08-2007, 04:30 PM
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Re: God I hate this spot. 50nl 6 max
[ QUOTE ]
Shove all day.. with your image and the FD out, a lot of these guys are calling with any ace [/ QUOTE ] combine that with your 1/2 pot flop bet, and I'm getting felted here... only question is do we get it in on the flop or on the turn?.?.?. I think I like the flop here personally, but don't see anything too wrong with either. 
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#13
03-08-2007, 04:38 PM
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Re: God I hate this spot. 50nl 6 max
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] At $50NL when you're raised on the flop, you're almost never ahead. [/ QUOTE ] WHAT!?! [/ QUOTE ] Let me say it a different way: At $50NL when you're raised on the flop, you're almost never ahead.
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#15
03-08-2007, 04:47 PM
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Re: God I hate this spot. 50nl 6 max
DONT check this flop. Now you can fold.
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#16
03-08-2007, 04:59 PM
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Re: God I hate this spot. 50nl 6 max
No way I fold.
Deeperstacked I would call and re-evaluate. This spot I shove. You and your wacky image are almost certainly getting looked up, and there are like 2 hands (22 and 55) that beat you (this nit won't have A5 A2 or AA here). Gogogogogogo.
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#17
03-08-2007, 05:19 PM
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Re: God I hate this spot. 50nl 6 max
pokey, IMO due to heroes image its fairly unlikely villian is on a lone flush draw. Bad image+possible tilter means ppl are less likely to semibluff and more likely to just overvalue their hands.
I still think hero is likely ahead of villian range, but its probably versus AQ or AJ rather than a flush draw.
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#18
03-08-2007, 05:38 PM
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Re: God I hate this spot. 50nl 6 max
Kurt and Pokey are right on. Push ...or CR-AI Turn if you really believe villain will bet again.
What did the BB do BTW fold? And the rest of you folding weakies give me hope that the games apparently are NOT getting tougher.
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#19
03-08-2007, 05:59 PM
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Re: God I hate this spot. 50nl 6 max
[ QUOTE ]
And the rest of you folding weakies give me hope that the games apparently are NOT getting tougher. [/ QUOTE ] Every time I start talking myself into believing a raise like this is a hand I can beat with TP, I get hit up with 2 pr/set/str8, etc. I stand by my statement that you're beat way more often than not when you're raised like this on the flop. I think this is an easy laydown here. Look at villain's stats. He's significantly tighter than me and I wouldn't do this without a hand that beats hero's. Also, just because hero thinks the table views him as a LAGtard, doesn't mean they do or have been paying attention.
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#20
03-08-2007, 06:03 PM
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Re: God I hate this spot. 50nl 6 max
[ QUOTE ]
Bad luck has established a phenomenal table image for you -- now it's time to abuse it. Assume your hand is the best and play accordingly. Your goal is to get all the money into the middle. If you lose again, that's just bad luck, but your opponent is NOT going to believe that you have a hand anywhere near as strong as TPTK -- force him to pay for his underestimation with his stack. [/ QUOTE ] Did you read the backstory? The reason he's supposed to be on tilt is because he's been phenomenally cold-decked, getting his money in with high quality hands repeatedly but still losing. I don't think the most likely deduction for most from this data is that he's now looking to get it in super light.
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