FT facing a significant overbet as the CL

[Dunkman]

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I think he turns up with KK/AA a LOT of the time here.


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Agreed.


BTW, I posted this less as "Am I ahead / behind" and more as a "do you take a shot at getting 1/2 the chips in play"

Against QQ+ calling is about a 10k -EV mistake
KK+ is a ~16k mistake.

A wider range that might include a little AJ or AQ and 99/88 hands and you are very close to ~0 EV spot. A little wider and you are +2k to call a little narrower and you are -5k to call.....but who cares about ranges and EVs..thats very straight forward.

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I care a lot about ranges and EV, the problem is that it's a stretch to put villain on anything outside of AQ+ TT+, which you're a 3:1 dog to. Occasionally, this is villain just making a play pf because he thinks you're stealing, and he could have a huge range. However, this is going to be a rare occurrence, and doesn't even begin to compensate for the majority of the time when you're way behind.