100nl river decision

BlackRain · #1 03-29-2006, 10:24 AM

Villain is unknown.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (8 handed) converter

CO ($49.85)
Button ($112.90)
SB ($111.35)
BB ($95.80)
UTG ($90)
UTG+1 ($104.65)
MP1 ($34)
Hero ($103.40)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $1, 1 fold, Hero raises to $4, 4 folds, UTG+1 calls $3.

Flop: ($9.50) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $7, UTG+1 raises to $20, Hero calls $13.

Turn: ($49.50) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero checks.

River: ($49.50) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG+1 bets $15, Hero???

Final Pot: $64.50

Was unsure about what to do on the river here. Also, how is the line on earlier streets. Thanks.

4_2_it · #2 03-29-2006, 10:30 AM

He is blocking/value betting something. The only hands you beat are Q7, AT and AJ. He is offering you better than 4-1 so you only have to be good 20% of the time to make this call.

I think this is a fold because I can't see a hand that check raises that flop that doesn't have you beat except maybe Ax [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] though his river bet certainly does not look like a busted draw to me.

mosuavea · #3 03-29-2006, 10:32 AM

I fold. TP on that board isn't going to win often if at all, especially against a flop c/r.

BlackRain · #4 03-29-2006, 10:53 AM

Is it better to get rid of this on the flop? The age old "its feels so weak tight" but I really hate raising here also with just TPGK and not many redraws against a solid draw or 2pair+