Have I Discovered Another Mathematical Football Coaching Error?

[EWS87]

1. Two good equally matched football teams. Two and a half minutes to go in the game. The team losing by 5 is on their own 20 and has two time outs left. About how often will they score a touchdown?...16%



2. Same situation but they are down by one point. About how often will they score a field goal (assuming they have a good field goal kicker.)...37%

3. Same as above. Down by one. About how often will they surprisingly score an unneeded touchdown?...11%


EXTRA CREDIT

Tell me what I am driving at
that internet players are better then kenny tran