*** OFFICIAL 11/29/07 NFL Thursday GAME THREAD (GB @ DAL)***

stylos · #1 11-29-2007, 06:55 PM

[ QUOTE ]
one of you math weenies has the answer - which is the better line

GB +7 -110
GB +7.5 -122

[/ QUOTE ]

Posted by someone earlier: http://www.sbrforum.com/Betting+Tool...alculator.aspx

funkytown · #2 11-29-2007, 07:09 PM

I'm taking Dallas -7 (bodog. Favre 0-8 in Dallas su and 1-7 ATS there

kyro · #3 11-29-2007, 07:47 PM

[ QUOTE ]
hmm...beat:

MIA and STL, a combined 2-18
a pretty bad CHI team
a bad MIN team
overrated NYG's twice
PHI-bad
WAS, decent win there
NYJ....

combined record of opponents that they beat 36-61

GB: 52-57

[/ QUOTE ]

Well yeah, that's because Dallas lost to a an undefeated team and the Packers lost to a team below .500. That's some pretty dishonest manipulation of data right there. Losing to a bad team is as much of a barometer of a team's ability as beating a bad team. The Cowboys and Packers have played pretty similar schedules. Packers have had a slightly harder schedule in pure win-loss, Cowboys with a slightly harder (though possibly skewed by the NE game) from a DVOA standpoint.

stakman1011 · #4 11-29-2007, 07:54 PM

NFL Network just announced both KGB and Woodson will not be playing fwiw.

murphstahoe · #5 11-29-2007, 08:04 PM

pack +7.5 -117 (WSEX)

kyro · #6 11-29-2007, 08:11 PM

I've been wavering on the total. My numbers tell me to take the over. Everything else says it's a tarp. I'm going to stay off. All I have for the night are:

Packers +7 (-115)
Risk 1u

Cowboys ML (-275)
Risk 2.934u

Yes, I realize those two combined are -EV. I made the Cowboys bet when I decided I didn't quite care for my Packers +7 bet. Hoping this game is won on a last second FG by Nick Folk.

kyro · #7 11-29-2007, 08:34 PM

Question...

Apparently I DO have the NFL Network. Will I be able to see the game or will I have to order the special package or something? I seem to recall people not being able to see any games on the NN even though getting the channel was in their cable package.

kyro · #8 11-30-2007, 01:12 AM

[ QUOTE ]
I've been wavering on the total. My numbers tell me to take the over. Everything else says it's a tarp. I'm going to stay off. All I have for the night are:

Packers +7 (-115)
Risk 1u

Cowboys ML (-275)
Risk 2.934u

Yes, I realize those two combined are -EV. I made the Cowboys bet when I decided I didn't quite care for my Packers +7 bet. Hoping this game is won on a last second FG by Nick Folk.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think I finished up .03u