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NL50 - Playing a draw against overpair
Villain is a known quantity. Solid player - 14/7/2.5. Does not automatically cbet - generally plays overcards cautiously. On the flop I am about 75% sure I am facing an overpair. On the turn I am about 99% sure.
Assume for the purpose of this analysis that we know that we are facing an overpair. How do I play the turn? If I call and hit, will I get paid? If I push, am I just spewing? Can I fold here? Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 8 Players LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter CO: $32.75 BTN: $64.60 SB: $50.25 BB: $56.50 UTG: $47.75 UTG+1: $61.85 MP1: $28 Hero (MP2): $50.90 Pre-Flop: T J dealt to Hero (MP2) <font color="red">UTG raises to $2</font>, 2 folds, Hero calls $2, 4 folds Flop: ($4.75) 3 6 J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">UTG bets $4</font>, Hero calls $4 Turn: ($12.75) 2 (2 Players) <font color="red">UTG bets $10</font>, <font color="red">Hero ???</font> |
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